something interesting

<  BACK TO Market Analysis

PIG TODAY-FOMC outlook hasn’t materially changed during the inter-meeting period - Nomura

Analysts at Nomura explain that as expected, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range from 0.50-0.75% to 0.75-1.00% and in the press conference, Chair Yellen indicated that the economy has made solid progress toward the goals of maximum employment and 2% longer-run inflation target but she also said that the economy evolved as the FOMC had expected and their outlook hasn’t materially changed during the inter-meeting period.

Key Quotes

“Consistent with her remarks, the median of the participants’ policy rate projections (the “dots”) for 2017 and 2018 did not change from the projections in December meeting. It is important to note that there was no change to the median of the FOMC’s longer-run policy rate forecasts, implying that the participant’s estimates of neutral rate did not change materially. Yet, there were some upward shifts in the lower tail of the distribution. The 25th percentile of the distribution of 2017 and 2018 moved up slightly. Considering improvement in financial conditions and upside risks to growth, it is not surprising that the lower tail of the distribution shifted slightly toward the current medians. Only 2019 median changed, which moved up to 3% from 2.875%.”

“Consistent with Chair Yellen’s message that the economy is in line with the FOMC’s forecasts, its other economic forecasts did not change much. As expected, median core PCE inflation for 2017 increased to 1.9% from 1.8%, reflecting the recent firming of core goods prices.”

“The bottom line of message is that this decision does not reflect a “reassessment” of the economic outlook or the appropriate course for monetary policy. As the economy evolves in line with the FOMC’s expectations, it is likely that target policy rates will go up in line with the FOMC’s forecast. As such, we do not expect any acceleration in the pace of hikes as long as economic developments remain on track. As a result, we maintain our monetary policy outlook, expecting two more hikes this year and two more next year.”

Source: fxstreet.com

Analysts at Nomura explain that as expected, the FOMC raised the federal funds target range from 0.50-0.75% to 0.75-1.00% and in the press conference, Chair Yellen indicated that the economy has made solid progress toward the goals of maximum employment and 2% longer-run inflation target but she also said that the economy evolved as the FOMC had expected and their outlook hasn’t materially changed during the inter-meeting period.

Key Quotes

“Consistent with her remarks, the median of the participants’ policy rate projections (the “dots”) for 2017 and 2018 did not change from the projections in December meeting. It is important to note that there was no change to the median of the FOMC’s longer-run policy rate forecasts, implying that the participant’s estimates of neutral rate did not change materially. Yet, there were some upward shifts in the lower tail of the distribution. The 25th percentile of the distribution of 2017 and 2018 moved up slightly. Considering improvement in financial conditions and upside risks to growth, it is not surprising that the lower tail of the distribution shifted slightly toward the current medians. Only 2019 median changed, which moved up to 3% from 2.875%.”

“Consistent with Chair Yellen’s message that the economy is in line with the FOMC’s forecasts, its other economic forecasts did not change much. As expected, median core PCE inflation for 2017 increased to 1.9% from 1.8%, reflecting the recent firming of core goods prices.”

“The bottom line of message is that this decision does not reflect a “reassessment” of the economic outlook or the appropriate course for monetary policy. As the economy evolves in line with the FOMC’s expectations, it is likely that target policy rates will go up in line with the FOMC’s forecast. As such, we do not expect any acceleration in the pace of hikes as long as economic developments remain on track. As a result, we maintain our monetary policy outlook, expecting two more hikes this year and two more next year.”

Source: fxstreet.com

lastest Articles

Market Analysis
GBP/USD struggles near 1-week lows, around 1.3100 handle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Yuan loses ground after U.S. stops short of calling China a currency manipulator
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD recovers ground and tests 1.1530
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US Dollar Index drops to lows near 95.50
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: The pair looks negative and could re-visit 1.1299
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (17.10.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Greenback bulls looking for a breakout above 112.55 resistance
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Bullish attempts should face initial hurdle at the 200-day SMA at 130.75
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD still points to further consolidation – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Gold spikes to fresh session tops, bulls eyeing a sustained move beyond 100-DMA
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD keeps focused on 1.3298 – Commerzbank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (16.10.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Gold holds steady below 2-1/2 month highs, around $1230 level
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD breaks above 1.3200 on UK jobs
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Wisdom: The key to trading success is emotional discipline
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/CAD stuck in a range below 1.30 handle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY bulls trying to build on momentum beyond 112.00 handle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD stays neutral and is seen rangebound near term – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD climbs back closer to over 1-week tops, comfortable above 0.71 mark
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Spot poised for some consolidation near term. Resistance at 21-day SMA at 1.1616
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Confirms a bearish breakthrough near 4-week old trading range
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY drops to near 1-month low, farther below 112.00 mark
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US Retail Sales to Support Dollar
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD edges higher to 9-day tops above 0.7130 on improved sentiment
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD keeps targeting 1.3298
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY trims early recovery gains, still comfortable above 112.00 handle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD should push higher
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD rallies seen struggling around 1.1625
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: The Sterling is trapped just above 1.3200
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD punches above 1.30 as Canadian dollar sags, CPI next
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD moves higher and approaches 1.1600 ahead of ECB, US CPI
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD has the fuel for a rally
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Brexit headlines, firm EMAs keeping the Cable bolstered
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Oil struggles for direction as investors watch Hurricane Michael, weigh Iranian sanctions
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Fails ahead of 200-hour SMA, back below 0.71 mark amid renewed USD buying
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Asia: No currency manipulators
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Emerging economies at risk amid 'complacent' markets
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling weakens as Brexit concerns weigh
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD – Euro under pressure, shrugs off strong German trade surplus
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD hits fresh session lows, around mid-1.3000s
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Why gold prices may have already bottomed
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR longs dropped, USD longs remain consolidative
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Fed’s Bullard: Higher US interest rates no longer necessary
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Has eroded a key rising trendline
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FX Week Ahead – Dollar Slows Down After US Jobs Miss
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: rolling over in favor of the bears
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD slips below mid-1.1700s, focus remains on FOMC decision
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Consolidating last week’s gains below 0.9000 figure - Bulls can come back soon
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Retreats from 200-hour SMA/ascending trend channel confluence hurdle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US: Strong foreign demand of financial assets - RBS
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: A test of 133.50 stays on the cards
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CHF stays offered below 0.9789 – Commerzbank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD seen testing 1.1850 in the short-term – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD fades a spike to 0.7305 – 3-week tops
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: bulls looking for one more run at 1.33
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD should find initial support at 1.1624
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Door open for a test of 132.00 and above
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD still neutral, likely to consolidate near term
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US: Inflationary impact of Chinese tariffs to be modest - TDS
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP futures: up move seen running out of steam
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY positive view unchanged above 110.76 – Commerzbank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: holding into bullish pressure despite risk flows
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Still targets the 200-day SMA at 131.11
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Riksbank Minutes amongst market movers today
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Bears waiting near 1.31
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Trade Tensions Return as US Tariffs on China Lift Dollar
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: A test of July’s tops beyond 132.00 gains further traction
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR futures: rising odds for extra gains
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD climbs to fresh 6-week tops, further beyond 1.3100 handle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY aims for extra gains while above 111.35
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD keeps the tight range above 1.1600 post-ECB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD still expected to test 1.13170 – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
ECB and BoE to be the key event today – Danske Bank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD stays bullish above 1.2997/30
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD fails once again above 1.1600, US PPI eyed
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD neutral although a test of lower levels remains on the cards – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY trades with modest losses, around mid-111.00s
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-term bias still bullish but momentum eases
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bulls eager to break above 112.00 figure
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Oil rises as U.S. sanctions on Iran squeeze supply
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Wisdom: Good traders liquidate when they are wrong, great traders reverse when they are wrong
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling surges on hopes for Brexit deal, yen dips on chipmaker deal
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Forex Today: sees risk-recovery in Asia, UK earnings in spotlight
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (10.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/CHF Technical Analysis: Swissy trapped in ranges
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling edges up after biggest weekly drop in a month
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: On losing-Pig Insider
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar edges higher on trade tensions, Swedish crown rises after vote
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 10.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Market Events Ahead
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX WEEK AHEAD : Trade Tensions and Strong US Employment Lift Dollar
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bulls trying to regain control, eyeing a move beyond 100/200-hour SMA
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: systems and tendencies-Eckhardt
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar in check as investors await August jobs report
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 07.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (06.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
EUR/USD Initiates Bullish Series Despite Disappointing Euro-Area Data
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Philip-Fisher-wisdom-trading-quote
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling to float up around 6 percent in a year, but no-deal Brexit would sink it - Reuters poll
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613