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French Election Warning

As you are aware this weekend we will see the first round of voting in the French General Election. As it stands the race is wide open with 11 candidates contesting the first round of voting on Sunday 23 April. Assuming no candidate wins more than 50% of the vote, the top two contenders will then go through to a run-off on 7 May. We expect there to be plenty volatility and encourage all clients to ensure sufficient funds are held with us.

FXPIG operates a pure STP model and passes all trade flow directly to its liquidity providers for execution. That being said, FXPIG has no way of knowing how its liquidity providers, or the markets in general, will react to election results other than to say that this will be a very volatile situation. It is possible the we could potentially experience the extreme widening of bid/ask spreads and a removal of liquidity as banks and other providers seek to manage their risk.

With this in mind, we would ask all of our clients to be very aware of the very real risks associated with this event. We expect there to be ample volatility surrounding the vote, especially if the outcome is not what the market has priced in up this point, and according to the last polls, the risk of such an event is material. We encourage all clients to ensure sufficient margin is held in their trading accounts to cope with that potential volatility.

Reducing or eliminating exposure during this event may ultimately be the safest option but obviously that is a decision that each client must take based on their own appetite for risk.

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