something interesting

<  BACK TO Mr. Markets

Are you a Fox?

Or a Sheep?

The problem with the FX market is that we are all looking at the same thing. That is fine provided we are prepared to look at it in a different way.

As Einstein said, “education is what remains after one has forgotten what one has learned in school.”

Bank traders  closely guard their positions and will only talk in general terms about their impressions of the market. Their trading style quickly becomes evident and to a certain extent their strengths and weaknesses.

Contrast this with a retail trader sitting in his basement. He is happy to share his positions with anyone who will listen; his ego quickly encroaching on the size of his house...    He will even allow other traders to copy him on social trading sites and will post trade logs on Facebook or Twitter to illuminate his magnificence.

Does this mean anything at all to any new trader looking for an edge? Nope. Verification is impossible and past performance is no guarantee etc, etc.

Let’s accept that the market is impossible to predict and anyone who says they can 100% of the time is at best dreamer, at worst, a bold faced liar, or just the luckiest schmuck on the planet. If you can get it right 60% of the time… you are on your way to successfully beating the market. Does that mean it is better to be a lucky trader than an astute one? Not necessarily.

There are so many imponderables to consider. Rigidity of attitude a sure-fire way to fail. Education continues, trading successfully is, like life, a journey not a destination. Every day is an opportunity. Not just to make money but to learn about so much. Knowledge comes from experience. Education is the ability to take that knowledge and use it in other circumstances.

Trading is not a zero-sum game. There doesn’t have to be a loser for every winner. But, making sure every possible advantage is capitalized upon and every weakness challenged will lead to becoming a sixty-percenter.

Did my twenty-five plus years in banks help me to become a successful retail trader?

No, it didn’t.

It has helped me help others become successful but I have always felt that I was operating behind a curtain not seeing the full picture. For me and my style that didn’t work. Never being much of a technician, I needed order flow, first hand access to brokers information and the ability to see how my market was affected by other asset classes. I suppose what you haven’t had you don’t miss.

The interbank and retail markets are totally different. As an interbank trader, you are facing two opponents, the market and the other traders. To trade, you need a counterparty. That counterparty becomes the market to you if you ask a price and comparing that price to the market he can do two things: know what you are trying to do and enhance his own position.

If you ask a euro price and the market is, say 29/31 and he makes you 30/32 he is “reading you” as a buyer or looking to buy himself. Passing on the price is as much a giveaway as not!

In the retail market, a certain nimbleness is necessary but there is also an opportunity to be more studied. The price is the price because the broker, in a normal market, will have as many buyers as sellers. Imagine sitting, isolated, in the basement with five other traders queuing up to ask you a price. There is huge pressure in putting your own money at risk but having to work under the pressure of “one on one pricing” is a whole different game.

The moral of the headline and the story is; be yourself. There is no Holy Grail and No Ark of the Covenant. No right way or wrong way. It’s not trial and error. It is education, knowledge and experience.

Or a Sheep?

The problem with the FX market is that we are all looking at the same thing. That is fine provided we are prepared to look at it in a different way.

As Einstein said, “education is what remains after one has forgotten what one has learned in school.”

Bank traders  closely guard their positions and will only talk in general terms about their impressions of the market. Their trading style quickly becomes evident and to a certain extent their strengths and weaknesses.

Contrast this with a retail trader sitting in his basement. He is happy to share his positions with anyone who will listen; his ego quickly encroaching on the size of his house...    He will even allow other traders to copy him on social trading sites and will post trade logs on Facebook or Twitter to illuminate his magnificence.

Does this mean anything at all to any new trader looking for an edge? Nope. Verification is impossible and past performance is no guarantee etc, etc.

Let’s accept that the market is impossible to predict and anyone who says they can 100% of the time is at best dreamer, at worst, a bold faced liar, or just the luckiest schmuck on the planet. If you can get it right 60% of the time… you are on your way to successfully beating the market. Does that mean it is better to be a lucky trader than an astute one? Not necessarily.

There are so many imponderables to consider. Rigidity of attitude a sure-fire way to fail. Education continues, trading successfully is, like life, a journey not a destination. Every day is an opportunity. Not just to make money but to learn about so much. Knowledge comes from experience. Education is the ability to take that knowledge and use it in other circumstances.

Trading is not a zero-sum game. There doesn’t have to be a loser for every winner. But, making sure every possible advantage is capitalized upon and every weakness challenged will lead to becoming a sixty-percenter.

Did my twenty-five plus years in banks help me to become a successful retail trader?

No, it didn’t.

It has helped me help others become successful but I have always felt that I was operating behind a curtain not seeing the full picture. For me and my style that didn’t work. Never being much of a technician, I needed order flow, first hand access to brokers information and the ability to see how my market was affected by other asset classes. I suppose what you haven’t had you don’t miss.

The interbank and retail markets are totally different. As an interbank trader, you are facing two opponents, the market and the other traders. To trade, you need a counterparty. That counterparty becomes the market to you if you ask a price and comparing that price to the market he can do two things: know what you are trying to do and enhance his own position.

If you ask a euro price and the market is, say 29/31 and he makes you 30/32 he is “reading you” as a buyer or looking to buy himself. Passing on the price is as much a giveaway as not!

In the retail market, a certain nimbleness is necessary but there is also an opportunity to be more studied. The price is the price because the broker, in a normal market, will have as many buyers as sellers. Imagine sitting, isolated, in the basement with five other traders queuing up to ask you a price. There is huge pressure in putting your own money at risk but having to work under the pressure of “one on one pricing” is a whole different game.

The moral of the headline and the story is; be yourself. There is no Holy Grail and No Ark of the Covenant. No right way or wrong way. It’s not trial and error. It is education, knowledge and experience.

lastest Articles

PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (21.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY continues to move sideways below 125 handle ahead of ECB and BoJ
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY-21.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Strong US Data, Trade Solace, & Consistent Fed Speak Drive Strong Dollar and Risk Narrative
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Move the market
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Forex Today: Yen weaker amid US-China trade optimism, UK retail sales – Up next
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (17.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Going Broke
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - 17.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (16.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: The fool
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
UK: On course for a hard Brexit?
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (15.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY-16.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
British pound volatile as Brexit-vote day arrives
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom:- Perfection
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (14.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (14.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 14.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Fed’s Dovishness Confirmed – Focus Shifts to Brexit and Earning Season
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Investing
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/JPY - Fed Will Put Over-Valued USD/JPY In The Cross Hairs
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (10.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Do what you love
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FOMC: Caution in mind
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (09.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: The goal
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY -09.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (08.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Opportunities...
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - 08.01.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (07.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Markets Rise After Strong US Jobs Growth with Fed Talking Down Rate Hikes
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (03.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Accepting losses
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY-03.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (02.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY recovers large part of daily drop on improved sentiment, trades near 109.50
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: The Impossible
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - 02.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
Happy and Prosperous New Year
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Yearly Results - 2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Trade What’s Happening…
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FX Today: Markets thin as the new year rolls around
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar might face hard times in 2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Oil remains bid after inventories post small decline
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Never let a win go to your head, or a loss to your heart
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
EUR/USD eases from weekly tops, still well bid around mid-1.1400s ahead of German CPI
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar slides versus haven currencies as equities renew selling
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Good Trading
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Fed projections are the problem
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom:The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Japan’s Nikkei tumbles into a bear market after Wall Street’s latest slide
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
Christmas And New Year Trading Schedule
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Take your profits
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Forex Today: Risk sentiment sees markets drifting mildly higher in the pre-Christmas wind-down
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Volatility and Risk Aversion Continue to Dominate December
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (20.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
ONDA PAMM - Very Promising PAMM...Could it Be?!
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (18.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Cloudy Skies Remain For AUD/USD Into The Fed
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Gold retreats after being unable to break above $1250
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (17.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD May Struggle To Rally On Any Fed Dovishness
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD extends the bounce towards 1.1350
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar Higher Ahead of Crucial Fed Meeting
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Control
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - 14.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Risk Control
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (13.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Currencies struggle for direction despite Draghi and Trump comments
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY -13.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (12.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
USD Bank Wire Notice
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
ECB will say goodbye to quantitative easing, but when will it hike rates?
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom:Knowing Your Self
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 12.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (11.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Personalizing Loses
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY-11.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (10.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 10.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Amateurs vs Professionals
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Forex Today: Risk-off extends into Asia, UK monthly GDP – key focus
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
BREXIT - Margin Requirement
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: The Game
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Gold retreats from 5-week tops amid a modest USD rebound
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (04.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
US National Mourning day Trading Schedule
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 04.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Keep it Simple
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Breaking: GBP/USD jumps on ECJ opinion that the UK can revoke Article 50 unilaterally
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (03.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD fails to preserve gains, calms down below mid-1.27s
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Your Friend
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 03.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613