something interesting

<  BACK TO Market Analysis

Forex Tech Targets

FOREX_daily-technical-analysis-0207_FXPIG

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 05 Jun 18, 1.1700): Downward pressure has eased, EUR to trade sideways to slightly higher.

We have held the same view since last Thursday (28 Jun, spot at 1.1560) wherein a break of the major 1.1505/10 support would not be surprising, the “prospect for a sustained decline is not high”. EUR subsequently hit a low 1.1525 during NY hours on Thursday before staging a surprisingly strong and sharp rally that hit a high of 1.1690 on Friday. The breach of the ‘key resistance’ at 1.1670 indicates that the recent downward pressure has eased. That said, there is no change to the current neutral outlook for EUR but it is expected to trade sideways to slightly higher from here, likely within a 1.1570/1.1750 range.

GBP/USD: Neutral (since 25 Jun, spot at 1.3265): GBP has moved into a consolidation phase and is expected to trade sideways.

We have held the same view since last Thursday (28 Jun, spot at 1.3120) wherein we expect the oversold conditions to ‘limit’ GBP weakness to 1.3040. While GBP subsequently recovered after touching a low of 1.3050, the strong and outsized rally last Friday came as a surprise (closed at 1.3206, +0.97%). The breach of the ‘key resistance’ at 1.3190 (high of 1.3214 on Friday) indicates that the recent downward pressure has eased. That said, the outlook remains neutral for now and GBP has likely moved into a consolidation phase and is expected to trade sideways from here, likely between 1.3100 and 1.3280.

AUD/USD: Bearish (since 20 Jun 18, 0.7385): Increasing risk of a short-term bottom.

We highlighted last Friday “downward momentum has not improved all that much and the next support at 0.7300 may be a tough level to crack”. However, the subsequent sharp rebound in AUD that hit a high of 0.7410 was not expected. From here, a break of the ‘stop-loss’ at 0.7420 would not be surprising and would indicate that last week’s 0.7323 low is a short-term bottom. This scenario seems likely unless AUD can move and stay below 0.7360 within these few days.

NZD/USD: Bearish (since 28 Jun 18, 0.6785): Decline approaching oversold but could extend to 0.6720. No change in view

We just turned bearish on NZD yesterday (28 Jun, spot at 0.6785) and there is no change to the view. As highlighted, while oversold, the current decline could extend further to 0.6720 (next support is at 0.6700). We will maintain a bearish NZD view until the ‘stop-loss’ at 0.6830 is taken out (level previously at 0.6860).

USD/JPY: Neutral (since 21 Feb 18, 107.35): USD to stay supported but any strength is unlikely to be sustained.

USD rose to hit a high of 110.93 last Friday and the undertone has improved further. While the immediate bias has shifted to the upside, we are not convinced that any USD strength can be sustained. Overall, we expect USD to stay underpinned in the next few days with 110.10 acting as a ‘key support’. On the upside, 111.00 is a strong resistance ahead of the May’s peak at 111.40.

Source: efxdata.com

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 05 Jun 18, 1.1700): Downward pressure has eased, EUR to trade sideways to slightly higher.

We have held the same view since last Thursday (28 Jun, spot at 1.1560) wherein a break of the major 1.1505/10 support would not be surprising, the “prospect for a sustained decline is not high”. EUR subsequently hit a low 1.1525 during NY hours on Thursday before staging a surprisingly strong and sharp rally that hit a high of 1.1690 on Friday. The breach of the ‘key resistance’ at 1.1670 indicates that the recent downward pressure has eased. That said, there is no change to the current neutral outlook for EUR but it is expected to trade sideways to slightly higher from here, likely within a 1.1570/1.1750 range.

GBP/USD: Neutral (since 25 Jun, spot at 1.3265): GBP has moved into a consolidation phase and is expected to trade sideways.

We have held the same view since last Thursday (28 Jun, spot at 1.3120) wherein we expect the oversold conditions to ‘limit’ GBP weakness to 1.3040. While GBP subsequently recovered after touching a low of 1.3050, the strong and outsized rally last Friday came as a surprise (closed at 1.3206, +0.97%). The breach of the ‘key resistance’ at 1.3190 (high of 1.3214 on Friday) indicates that the recent downward pressure has eased. That said, the outlook remains neutral for now and GBP has likely moved into a consolidation phase and is expected to trade sideways from here, likely between 1.3100 and 1.3280.

AUD/USD: Bearish (since 20 Jun 18, 0.7385): Increasing risk of a short-term bottom.

We highlighted last Friday “downward momentum has not improved all that much and the next support at 0.7300 may be a tough level to crack”. However, the subsequent sharp rebound in AUD that hit a high of 0.7410 was not expected. From here, a break of the ‘stop-loss’ at 0.7420 would not be surprising and would indicate that last week’s 0.7323 low is a short-term bottom. This scenario seems likely unless AUD can move and stay below 0.7360 within these few days.

NZD/USD: Bearish (since 28 Jun 18, 0.6785): Decline approaching oversold but could extend to 0.6720. No change in view

We just turned bearish on NZD yesterday (28 Jun, spot at 0.6785) and there is no change to the view. As highlighted, while oversold, the current decline could extend further to 0.6720 (next support is at 0.6700). We will maintain a bearish NZD view until the ‘stop-loss’ at 0.6830 is taken out (level previously at 0.6860).

USD/JPY: Neutral (since 21 Feb 18, 107.35): USD to stay supported but any strength is unlikely to be sustained.

USD rose to hit a high of 110.93 last Friday and the undertone has improved further. While the immediate bias has shifted to the upside, we are not convinced that any USD strength can be sustained. Overall, we expect USD to stay underpinned in the next few days with 110.10 acting as a ‘key support’. On the upside, 111.00 is a strong resistance ahead of the May’s peak at 111.40.

Source: efxdata.com

lastest Articles

Market Analysis
AUD/USD fades a spike to 0.7305 – 3-week tops
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: bulls looking for one more run at 1.33
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD should find initial support at 1.1624
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Door open for a test of 132.00 and above
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD still neutral, likely to consolidate near term
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US: Inflationary impact of Chinese tariffs to be modest - TDS
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP futures: up move seen running out of steam
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY positive view unchanged above 110.76 – Commerzbank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: holding into bullish pressure despite risk flows
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Still targets the 200-day SMA at 131.11
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Riksbank Minutes amongst market movers today
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Bears waiting near 1.31
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Trade Tensions Return as US Tariffs on China Lift Dollar
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: A test of July’s tops beyond 132.00 gains further traction
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR futures: rising odds for extra gains
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD climbs to fresh 6-week tops, further beyond 1.3100 handle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY aims for extra gains while above 111.35
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD keeps the tight range above 1.1600 post-ECB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD still expected to test 1.13170 – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
ECB and BoE to be the key event today – Danske Bank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD stays bullish above 1.2997/30
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD fails once again above 1.1600, US PPI eyed
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD neutral although a test of lower levels remains on the cards – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY trades with modest losses, around mid-111.00s
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-term bias still bullish but momentum eases
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bulls eager to break above 112.00 figure
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Oil rises as U.S. sanctions on Iran squeeze supply
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Wisdom: Good traders liquidate when they are wrong, great traders reverse when they are wrong
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling surges on hopes for Brexit deal, yen dips on chipmaker deal
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Forex Today: sees risk-recovery in Asia, UK earnings in spotlight
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (10.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/CHF Technical Analysis: Swissy trapped in ranges
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling edges up after biggest weekly drop in a month
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: On losing-Pig Insider
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar edges higher on trade tensions, Swedish crown rises after vote
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 10.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Market Events Ahead
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX WEEK AHEAD : Trade Tensions and Strong US Employment Lift Dollar
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bulls trying to regain control, eyeing a move beyond 100/200-hour SMA
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: systems and tendencies-Eckhardt
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar in check as investors await August jobs report
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 07.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (06.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
EUR/USD Initiates Bullish Series Despite Disappointing Euro-Area Data
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Philip-Fisher-wisdom-trading-quote
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling to float up around 6 percent in a year, but no-deal Brexit would sink it - Reuters poll
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 06.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling edges lower for a fifth day on trade war fears
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Wisdom: The Wise Pig on results
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling plunges vs euro as Brexit fears take centre-stage
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 04.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (03.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
US Dollar within range above 95.00
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 03.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: If you can’t do a thing better than others are doing it, don’t do it at all
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling falls as Brexit headlines sap demand
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Market Events Ahead
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results (27.08-01.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FOREX Week Ahead: US Dollar Mixed on Trade Deal Versus Trade War Balance
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Bruce Kovner - Quote on risk management
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling set for fifth straight monthly drop on Brexit nerves
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar edges up on latest round of U.S.-China trade tensions
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 31.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (30.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
GBP/USD – British pound pauses after sharp gains
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote:A trader should look at a chart for what it is, and not for what he want it to be.
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
EUR/USD falls back below 1.1700 handle amid re-emerging Turkish crisis
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling jumps on EU official's Brexit views; dollar near 4-week low
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 30.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote:If the losses don't hurt, your financial survival is tenuous
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
WTI looks to $ 69 ahead of EIA data
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Yuan eases on dollar demand, snapping a 3-day winning streak
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar little changed as investors await trade news
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (28.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
GBP/USD struggling to make new short-term cycle highs, support is 1.2850
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY – Yen trading sideways, as Japanese, U.S data beats expectations
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US stocks continue scaling higher on easing trade fears
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
WTI bounces-back above $ 69 mark, API data in focus
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote:Nothing is worth doing unless it is worth doing right
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar mired near one-month low on trade deal; pound struggles
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 28.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD Price Outlook: Loonie Threatens Breakout on Easing Trade Tensions
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Yuan hits four-week high as China signals support, revives X-factor for fixing
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote:Schwager-dont stay wrong
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar softens as Powell disappoints bulls, NAFTA hopes lift Mexican peso
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 27.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US Dollar Drops After Powell Stresses Gradual Approach to Rates
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD edges lower toward 1.30 on unabated USD sell-off
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Oil stages sharp bounce, a day after snapping win streak
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling stuck near 11-month lows vs euro
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote:Koner-your position in half
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar holds gains after U.S.-China trade talks, focus shifts to Fed
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 24.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (23.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/CAD stays in the upper half of its daily range above 1.3050
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote:promiscious in search not in trading-Eckhardt
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling falls as Britain steps up planning for no-deal Brexit
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar up as Aussie drops, Fed minutes signal Sept. rate rise coming
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 23.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY – Japanese yen unchanged ahead of Japanese inflation reports
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613