something interesting

<  BACK TO Market Analysis

FOREX Tech Targets

FOREX-Technical-analysis-daily_FXPIG

EUR/USD: Bearish (since 01 May 18, 1.2075): Anticipating a move to the year-to-date low of 1.1915.

EUR registered an ‘inside day’ yesterday and the recent strong downward momentum has eased somewhat. While we continue to anticipate a move to the year-to-date low at 1.1915, oversold shorter-term condition suggests that EUR could consolidate for a couple of days before embarking on the next ‘down-leg’. From here, 1.1915 is viewed as a rather critical support and a break of this level could lead to an accelerated decline in EUR towards 1.1850 followed by 1.1800.

Bearish (since 01 May 18, 1.3765): Still bearish but odds for further weakness to 1.3458 are not high.

GBP dipped to a low of 1.3537 yesterday before rebounding quickly. Shorter-term downward momentum has eased considerably and while the outlook for GBP is still deemed as bearish, the odds for further GBP weakness towards the next major support at 1.3458 (year-to-date low) are not high at this stage. In order to improve the prospect for a move to 1.3458, GBP has to stage an ‘impulsive and rapid’ break of the 1.3500 support. Otherwise, a prolonged consolidation at these levels would lead to further loss in momentum and increase the risk of a short-term low.

AUD/USD: Bearish (02 May 18, 0.7485): Increasing risk of a short-term low.

The strong rebound in AUD yesterday that hit a high of 0.7543 came as a surprise. While the ‘stop-loss’ for our bearish view at 0.7570 is still intact, the risk of a short-term low has increased considerably. Unless AUD can break and hold below 0.7485 by end of today’s NY session, a break of 0.7570 would not be surprising and would indicate that AUD has made a short-term low at 0.7473 on Tuesday (01 May). Looking further ahead, a break of 0.7570 suggests that AUD has moved into a correction/consolidation phase (too early to expect a major bullish reversal).

NZD/USD:  Bearish (since 02 May 18, 0.7005): Increasing risk of a short-term low.

The strong gain of +0.72% made by NZD yesterday came as a surprise. While the ‘stop-loss’ level for our bearish view at 0.7085 is still intact, the risk of a short-term low has increased considerably. Unless NZD can move and stay below 0.7005 by end of today’s NY session, a break of 0.7085 would not be surprising. A break of 0.7085 would indicate that NZD has moved into correction/consolidation phase and that the 0.6985 low seen Wednesday (02 May) is a short-term low.

USD/JPY: Neutral (since 21 Feb 18, 107.35): USD is close to making a short-term top.

In recent updates, we indicated that 110.00 is of ‘high importance’ and only a NY closing above this level would suggest that USD has moved into a bullish phase. While the failure to break clearly above this level was not surprising (high of 110.02 on Wednesday, 02 May), the subsequent sharp and rapid decline was not exactly expected (USD closed lower by -0.59% yesterday). The combination of waning momentum on overbought condition suggest that 110.02 is likely a short-term top but only a break of 108.80 would indicate the start of a deeper pull-back towards 108.30 (with lower odds for extension to 107.90). The prospect for a deeper pull-back is not that high at this stage but would increase quickly unless USD can move and hold above 109.55 within these 1 to 2 day.

Source:efxdata.com

EUR/USD: Bearish (since 01 May 18, 1.2075): Anticipating a move to the year-to-date low of 1.1915.

EUR registered an ‘inside day’ yesterday and the recent strong downward momentum has eased somewhat. While we continue to anticipate a move to the year-to-date low at 1.1915, oversold shorter-term condition suggests that EUR could consolidate for a couple of days before embarking on the next ‘down-leg’. From here, 1.1915 is viewed as a rather critical support and a break of this level could lead to an accelerated decline in EUR towards 1.1850 followed by 1.1800.

Bearish (since 01 May 18, 1.3765): Still bearish but odds for further weakness to 1.3458 are not high.

GBP dipped to a low of 1.3537 yesterday before rebounding quickly. Shorter-term downward momentum has eased considerably and while the outlook for GBP is still deemed as bearish, the odds for further GBP weakness towards the next major support at 1.3458 (year-to-date low) are not high at this stage. In order to improve the prospect for a move to 1.3458, GBP has to stage an ‘impulsive and rapid’ break of the 1.3500 support. Otherwise, a prolonged consolidation at these levels would lead to further loss in momentum and increase the risk of a short-term low.

AUD/USD: Bearish (02 May 18, 0.7485): Increasing risk of a short-term low.

The strong rebound in AUD yesterday that hit a high of 0.7543 came as a surprise. While the ‘stop-loss’ for our bearish view at 0.7570 is still intact, the risk of a short-term low has increased considerably. Unless AUD can break and hold below 0.7485 by end of today’s NY session, a break of 0.7570 would not be surprising and would indicate that AUD has made a short-term low at 0.7473 on Tuesday (01 May). Looking further ahead, a break of 0.7570 suggests that AUD has moved into a correction/consolidation phase (too early to expect a major bullish reversal).

NZD/USD:  Bearish (since 02 May 18, 0.7005): Increasing risk of a short-term low.

The strong gain of +0.72% made by NZD yesterday came as a surprise. While the ‘stop-loss’ level for our bearish view at 0.7085 is still intact, the risk of a short-term low has increased considerably. Unless NZD can move and stay below 0.7005 by end of today’s NY session, a break of 0.7085 would not be surprising. A break of 0.7085 would indicate that NZD has moved into correction/consolidation phase and that the 0.6985 low seen Wednesday (02 May) is a short-term low.

USD/JPY: Neutral (since 21 Feb 18, 107.35): USD is close to making a short-term top.

In recent updates, we indicated that 110.00 is of ‘high importance’ and only a NY closing above this level would suggest that USD has moved into a bullish phase. While the failure to break clearly above this level was not surprising (high of 110.02 on Wednesday, 02 May), the subsequent sharp and rapid decline was not exactly expected (USD closed lower by -0.59% yesterday). The combination of waning momentum on overbought condition suggest that 110.02 is likely a short-term top but only a break of 108.80 would indicate the start of a deeper pull-back towards 108.30 (with lower odds for extension to 107.90). The prospect for a deeper pull-back is not that high at this stage but would increase quickly unless USD can move and hold above 109.55 within these 1 to 2 day.

Source:efxdata.com

lastest Articles

Market Analysis
Turkish Lira rally halted on U.S sanctions threat
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results (13-17.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (17.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
US Dollar Index challenges lows near 96.30 post-U Mich
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Japan: Risk of disappointing exports this summer – Nomura
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Weaker gold heads for 3% weekly drop
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY outlook still unclear, rangebound likely near term – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD faces some rangebound near term – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: First ask yourself - Pig Insider
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
US said to seek to pressure China to lift the Yuan in talks – New York Times
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (16.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
China, U.S. to hold lower-level trade talks in late August
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Fitch Ratings: Brexit uncertainty makes smooth transition less likely
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP futures: U-turn near term?
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Consolidates daily gains above 100-hour SMA
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote:Speculate with less than 10% of your liquid net worth -Ed Seykota
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Euro rebounds from 13-month lows, dollar weakens on U.S.-China talks
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 16.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (15.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar rises to 13-month high, offshore yuan falls
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD drops to fresh lows closer to 1.1300
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Challenges ascending trend-channel support ahead of US retail sales data
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD reverses a dip below 1.2700 on UK CPI
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
No end on sight for the bearish phase in AUD/USD – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Quote: I am a better investor because I am a businessman - Warren Buffett
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (14.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
NY Fed: Total household debt increased by $82 billion (0.6%) in Q2
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
UK's Hunt: Risk of a no-deal Brexit has been increasing
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
NZD: Pressurized by dovish RBNZ - Westpac
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Gold Review: Struggles near 19-month low, chart set-up points to continuation of the downfall
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: When you know what not to do in order not to lose money - Jesse Livermore
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
GBP/JPY spikes and retreats, steadies near 142.00 mark post-UK jobs data
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Germany again bucked the trend in Europe - Rabobank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (13.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Canada: CPI to take centre stage this week - NBF
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Pound pummelled by stronger dollar, mounting Brexit fears
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD moves into a bearish phase – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY negative, room for a test of 109.35 – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Efforts and Courage - Pig Insider
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Gold Technical Analysis: Traders await a convincing break through near-term trading range
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 13.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results (06-10.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FOREX Week Ahead: Dollar Higher as Risk Appetite Vanishes
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (10.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Japan: Growth surged by 0.5% q/q - Rabobank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling steadies near 11-month lows after Brexit slide
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Yuan eases, set to extend longest losing streak to nine weeks
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Gold Review: Weekly trading range intact ahead of US CPI
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: You can't move the market - Pig Insider
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
GBP/USD stays bearish, next target at 1.2675 – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
NZD/USD struggles below 0.6600 mark, lowest since March 2016
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (09.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Bearish bets on most Asian currencies recede slightly - Reuters poll
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY room for a test of 128.11 – Commerzbank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Gold struggles for a firm near-term direction, holds within 1-week old trading range
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR futures: upside limited near term
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: philosophy of trading-Pig Insider
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Struggles to break through a descending trend-line hurdle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling extends fall vs dollar, nears one-year low
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (08.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Review: Bearish pressure remains unabated, lowest level since late-Aug. 2017
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
China state banks seen selling dollars to arrest sharp yuan losses: traders
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Gold hangs near 17-month lows, around $1212 level
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP futures: scope for deeper pullback
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Never invest in a business you cannot understand - Warren Buffett
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Euro gains as dollar rally fades; yen rebounds
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 08.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Quote: on market wisdom and money-Livermore
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Pound frail on worries over no-deal Brexit, dollar steady
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 07.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: USD/JPY supported above 111.00 level
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
10-year, 30-year government bond yields fall as China trade tensions resurface
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Mr. Markets
Trump’s Conundrum Spooking Market
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/8b0332acc130dc650331fd558f82add2
Market Analysis
GBP/USD slides to fresh YTD lows, around mid-1.2900s
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Pyramiding instructions appear on dollar bills - Ed Seykota
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
EUR/USD meets fresh supply, 1.1508 back on sight
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 06.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Market Events Ahead
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results (30.07-04.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FOREX Week Ahead:US Dollar Takes NFP Hit But Ends Up Higher on the Week
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (03.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
EUR/USD remains vulnerable, recovery stalled around 1.1610
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Breakdown of 129.00 could spark a leg lower to 126.63/124.61
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Gold Technical Analysis: Stages a solid rebound from 13-month lows
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US Dollar finds support around 95.00 post-Payrolls
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Only those who risk going too far - PIG INSIDER
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling slides below $1.30 as Carney flags no-deal Brexit risks
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 03.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (02.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Gold Review: Drops to 2-week lows, remains vulnerable to slide further
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
BOE rate hike not enough to lift British pound versus dollar
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: safety-Livermore
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
US Dollar clinches session highs near 95.00
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (01.08.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Euro pressured by dollar strength and subdued factory growth
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: We don’t have to be smarter than the rest - WARREN BUFFET
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
UK manufacturing output slips as Brexit risks mount - ING
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 01.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (31.07.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613