something interesting

<  BACK TO Market Analysis

FOREX Tech Targets

FOREX_Daily-Technical-Analysis_FXPIG

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 05 Mar 18, 1.2335): EUR strength has room to extend further towards 1.2500.

When we turned neutral two days ago (05 Mar, spot at 1.2335), we viewed EUR’s strength as a ‘correction’ but were of the view that the immediate bias is for a ‘probe’ higher towards the top of the expected 1.2220/1.2430 consolidation range. EUR touched an overnight high of 1.2420 and ended the day on a solid note. The undertone has improved considerably and the current EUR strength has room to extend further towards 1.2500. This level is expected to offer solid resistance. At this stage, the odds for a move above last month’s 1.2555 peaks are deemed as low. Overall, after the strong advance yesterday, we expect EUR to stay underpinned (at least for the next several days) and only a move back below the key support at 1.2300 would indicate that the immediate upward pressure has eased (minor support is at 1.2350)

GBP/USD: Shift from bearish to NEUTRAL: Recovery has room to extend higher.

While we highlighted the diminished odds for further GBP weakness yesterday, the strong surge higher that easily took out the ‘stop-loss’ for our bearish view at 1.3890 came as a surprise (high has been 1.3929). GBP has likely made a temporary low at 1.3712 last week and the current recovery has room to extend higher. That said, there are several rather strong resistance levels at 1.3990, 1.4030 and 1.4070. Despite the current positive undertone, we expect GBP to struggle to move clearly above these strong resistance levels. On the downside, only a move back below 1.3800 would indicate that current mild upward pressure has eased.

AUD/USD:  Neutral (since 15 Feb 18, 0.7925): AUD has likely moved into a consolidation phase.

We have been highlighting the diminished odds for further AUD weakness since last Friday (02 Mar, spot at 0.7760) and the break of 0.7820 yesterday (high of 0.7842) confirms that the recent mild downward pressure has eased. However, there is no change to the neutral outlook but AUD has likely moved into a consolidation phase and is expected to trade sideways from here, likely within a 0.7715/7880 range.

NZD/USD: Neutral (since 05 Feb 18, 0.7280): Rebound has scope to extend higher towards 0.7350.

NZD finally took out the strong 0.7285 resistance yesterday as it surged to an overnight high of 0.7311. As highlighted in recent updates, a break of 0.7285 would indicate that the recent downward pressure has eased. From here, the undertone has turned positive and the current rebound has scope to extend higher towards 0.7350. At this stage, a sustained move above this level seems unlikely. On the downside, only a break of the key support at 0.7220 would indicate that the immediate upward pressure has eased.

USD/JPY: Neutral (since 21 Feb 18, 107.35): Shift to bearish if NY closing is below 105.20.

In the update yesterday (06 Mar, spot at 106.20), we highlighted that the prospect for USD to enter a bearish has diminished but remains intact unless it can reclaim the strong 106.70 resistance. USD touched a high of 106.46 during Asian hour yesterday but plummeted after NY close on the back of news of Cohn’s resignation. While the undertone has clearly weakened, it is too early to expect the start of a sustained decline. Only an NY close below 105.20 would indicate that a move towards 104.50, 104.00 has started. Overall, after the sharp drop early this morning, USD is expected to stay under pressure (at least for the next few days) unless it can move and stay above the high near 106.45 yesterday.

Source: efxdata.com

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 05 Mar 18, 1.2335): EUR strength has room to extend further towards 1.2500.

When we turned neutral two days ago (05 Mar, spot at 1.2335), we viewed EUR’s strength as a ‘correction’ but were of the view that the immediate bias is for a ‘probe’ higher towards the top of the expected 1.2220/1.2430 consolidation range. EUR touched an overnight high of 1.2420 and ended the day on a solid note. The undertone has improved considerably and the current EUR strength has room to extend further towards 1.2500. This level is expected to offer solid resistance. At this stage, the odds for a move above last month’s 1.2555 peaks are deemed as low. Overall, after the strong advance yesterday, we expect EUR to stay underpinned (at least for the next several days) and only a move back below the key support at 1.2300 would indicate that the immediate upward pressure has eased (minor support is at 1.2350)

GBP/USD: Shift from bearish to NEUTRAL: Recovery has room to extend higher.

While we highlighted the diminished odds for further GBP weakness yesterday, the strong surge higher that easily took out the ‘stop-loss’ for our bearish view at 1.3890 came as a surprise (high has been 1.3929). GBP has likely made a temporary low at 1.3712 last week and the current recovery has room to extend higher. That said, there are several rather strong resistance levels at 1.3990, 1.4030 and 1.4070. Despite the current positive undertone, we expect GBP to struggle to move clearly above these strong resistance levels. On the downside, only a move back below 1.3800 would indicate that current mild upward pressure has eased.

AUD/USD:  Neutral (since 15 Feb 18, 0.7925): AUD has likely moved into a consolidation phase.

We have been highlighting the diminished odds for further AUD weakness since last Friday (02 Mar, spot at 0.7760) and the break of 0.7820 yesterday (high of 0.7842) confirms that the recent mild downward pressure has eased. However, there is no change to the neutral outlook but AUD has likely moved into a consolidation phase and is expected to trade sideways from here, likely within a 0.7715/7880 range.

NZD/USD: Neutral (since 05 Feb 18, 0.7280): Rebound has scope to extend higher towards 0.7350.

NZD finally took out the strong 0.7285 resistance yesterday as it surged to an overnight high of 0.7311. As highlighted in recent updates, a break of 0.7285 would indicate that the recent downward pressure has eased. From here, the undertone has turned positive and the current rebound has scope to extend higher towards 0.7350. At this stage, a sustained move above this level seems unlikely. On the downside, only a break of the key support at 0.7220 would indicate that the immediate upward pressure has eased.

USD/JPY: Neutral (since 21 Feb 18, 107.35): Shift to bearish if NY closing is below 105.20.

In the update yesterday (06 Mar, spot at 106.20), we highlighted that the prospect for USD to enter a bearish has diminished but remains intact unless it can reclaim the strong 106.70 resistance. USD touched a high of 106.46 during Asian hour yesterday but plummeted after NY close on the back of news of Cohn’s resignation. While the undertone has clearly weakened, it is too early to expect the start of a sustained decline. Only an NY close below 105.20 would indicate that a move towards 104.50, 104.00 has started. Overall, after the sharp drop early this morning, USD is expected to stay under pressure (at least for the next few days) unless it can move and stay above the high near 106.45 yesterday.

Source: efxdata.com

lastest Articles

Market Analysis
AUD/USD stays neutral and is seen rangebound near term – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD climbs back closer to over 1-week tops, comfortable above 0.71 mark
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Spot poised for some consolidation near term. Resistance at 21-day SMA at 1.1616
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Confirms a bearish breakthrough near 4-week old trading range
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY drops to near 1-month low, farther below 112.00 mark
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US Retail Sales to Support Dollar
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD edges higher to 9-day tops above 0.7130 on improved sentiment
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD keeps targeting 1.3298
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY trims early recovery gains, still comfortable above 112.00 handle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD should push higher
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD rallies seen struggling around 1.1625
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: The Sterling is trapped just above 1.3200
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD punches above 1.30 as Canadian dollar sags, CPI next
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD moves higher and approaches 1.1600 ahead of ECB, US CPI
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD has the fuel for a rally
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Brexit headlines, firm EMAs keeping the Cable bolstered
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Oil struggles for direction as investors watch Hurricane Michael, weigh Iranian sanctions
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Fails ahead of 200-hour SMA, back below 0.71 mark amid renewed USD buying
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Asia: No currency manipulators
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Emerging economies at risk amid 'complacent' markets
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling weakens as Brexit concerns weigh
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD – Euro under pressure, shrugs off strong German trade surplus
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD hits fresh session lows, around mid-1.3000s
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Why gold prices may have already bottomed
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR longs dropped, USD longs remain consolidative
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Fed’s Bullard: Higher US interest rates no longer necessary
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Has eroded a key rising trendline
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FX Week Ahead – Dollar Slows Down After US Jobs Miss
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: rolling over in favor of the bears
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD slips below mid-1.1700s, focus remains on FOMC decision
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: Consolidating last week’s gains below 0.9000 figure - Bulls can come back soon
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Retreats from 200-hour SMA/ascending trend channel confluence hurdle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US: Strong foreign demand of financial assets - RBS
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: A test of 133.50 stays on the cards
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CHF stays offered below 0.9789 – Commerzbank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD seen testing 1.1850 in the short-term – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD fades a spike to 0.7305 – 3-week tops
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: bulls looking for one more run at 1.33
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD should find initial support at 1.1624
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Door open for a test of 132.00 and above
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
AUD/USD still neutral, likely to consolidate near term
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
US: Inflationary impact of Chinese tariffs to be modest - TDS
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP futures: up move seen running out of steam
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY positive view unchanged above 110.76 – Commerzbank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: holding into bullish pressure despite risk flows
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Still targets the 200-day SMA at 131.11
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Riksbank Minutes amongst market movers today
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Bears waiting near 1.31
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Trade Tensions Return as US Tariffs on China Lift Dollar
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: A test of July’s tops beyond 132.00 gains further traction
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR futures: rising odds for extra gains
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD climbs to fresh 6-week tops, further beyond 1.3100 handle
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY aims for extra gains while above 111.35
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD keeps the tight range above 1.1600 post-ECB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD still expected to test 1.13170 – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
ECB and BoE to be the key event today – Danske Bank
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/CAD stays bullish above 1.2997/30
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD fails once again above 1.1600, US PPI eyed
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD neutral although a test of lower levels remains on the cards – UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY trades with modest losses, around mid-111.00s
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-term bias still bullish but momentum eases
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bulls eager to break above 112.00 figure
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Oil rises as U.S. sanctions on Iran squeeze supply
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Wisdom: Good traders liquidate when they are wrong, great traders reverse when they are wrong
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling surges on hopes for Brexit deal, yen dips on chipmaker deal
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Forex Today: sees risk-recovery in Asia, UK earnings in spotlight
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (10.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/CHF Technical Analysis: Swissy trapped in ranges
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling edges up after biggest weekly drop in a month
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: On losing-Pig Insider
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar edges higher on trade tensions, Swedish crown rises after vote
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 10.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Market Events Ahead
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX WEEK AHEAD : Trade Tensions and Strong US Employment Lift Dollar
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bulls trying to regain control, eyeing a move beyond 100/200-hour SMA
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: systems and tendencies-Eckhardt
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Dollar in check as investors await August jobs report
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 07.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (06.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
EUR/USD Initiates Bullish Series Despite Disappointing Euro-Area Data
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Philip-Fisher-wisdom-trading-quote
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling to float up around 6 percent in a year, but no-deal Brexit would sink it - Reuters poll
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 06.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling edges lower for a fifth day on trade war fears
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Wisdom: The Wise Pig on results
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling plunges vs euro as Brexit fears take centre-stage
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 04.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (03.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
US Dollar within range above 95.00
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 03.09.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: If you can’t do a thing better than others are doing it, don’t do it at all
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Sterling falls as Brexit headlines sap demand
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Market Events Ahead
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results (27.08-01.09.2018)
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FOREX Week Ahead: US Dollar Mixed on Trade Deal Versus Trade War Balance
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
FOREX Trading Quote: Bruce Kovner - Quote on risk management
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Sterling set for fifth straight monthly drop on Brexit nerves
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar edges up on latest round of U.S.-China trade tensions
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
FOREX Tech Targets 31.08.2018: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOB
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613