something interesting

<  BACK TO Market Analysis

FOREX Tech Targets

FOREX_Daily-technical-targets_27-04-2018_FXPIG

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 05 Mar 18, 1.2335): Shift to bearish if NY close is below 1.2090.

We highlighted yesterday (26 Apr, spot at 1.2170) that “a clear break of 1.2153 would suggest that EUR is ready for a much deeper down-move in the weeks ahead”. EUR not only cracked this level but also managed to test the next major support near 1.2090 (note that 1.2092 was the high in 2017). The odds for a shift to a bearish phase have increased considerably but we prefer to wait for a daily closing below 1.2090. A shift to a bearish phase would have an immediate target of 1.1960. Looking back, while we first indicated that the “immediate pressure has shifted to the downside” on Monday, the decline since then has been more ‘impulsive’ than expected. From here, a clear break of 1.2090 would suggest that the 1.2555 high seen in February could turn out to be a significant mid to long-term top. In the meanwhile, we continue to expect EUR to stay under pressure unless it can reclaim the ‘key resistance’ that is currently at 1.2245 (level was previously at 1.2270).

GBP/USD: Neutral (since 07 Mar 18, 1.3895): Scope for GBP to grind lower to 1.3850.

The 1.3900 level that was first highlighted earlier this week was finally ‘tested’ as GBP touched an overnight low of 1.3895. Downward momentum is still not strong but with no sign of stabilization just yet, we see scope for GBP to grind lower to 1.3850 (next support is at 1.3800). Only a break of the ‘key resistance’ at 1.4020 (level was at 1.4040 yesterday) would indicate that the current weakness has stabilized.

AUD/USD: Neutral (since 22 Mar 18, 0.7770): Further weakness not ruled out but 0.7500 is likely out of reach. No change in view.We noted yesterday that “there is no sign of stabilization just yet” and “we have to contend with further weakness to 0.7550”. AUD subsequently hit a low of 0.7553 before staging a mild recovery. While further weakness is not ruled out, the combination of oversold conditions and waning momentum suggest that the odds for a sustained move below 0.7550 are not high. The next support below 0.7550 is at 0.7500, the low in December last year. At this stage, it appears that AUD would likely make a short-term low ahead of this major support. To put it another way, 0.7500 is likely out of reach this time round. Resistance is at 0.7605 but only a break of 0.7650 (‘key resistance’ previously at 0.7690) would indicate that a short-term low is in place.

NZD/USD: Neutral (since 05 Feb 18, 0.7280): Further weakness to 0.7035 would not be surprising. No change in view.NZD continues to ‘melt’ and our expectation for 0.7070 to temporarily check the drop in NZD was incorrect (low of 0.7058). Despite being severely oversold, there is still no sign of stabilization yet and further NZD weakness to 0.7035 would not be surprising. However, the next support at 0.7000 could be out of reach. On the upside, resistance is at 0.7110 but only a break of 0.7145 (‘key resistance’ previously at 0.7190) would indicate that the current weakness has stabilized.

USD/JPY: Neutral (since 21 Feb 18, 107.35): Focus is at 110.00 now. No change in view.The 109.30 ‘target’ that was first highlighted on Tuesday (24 Apr, 108.70) was exceeded as USD hit a high of 109.45 during NY hours. As indicated previously, a break of 109.30 would suggest that USD is ready for a move to 110.00. We attach high importance to 110.00 as a clear break of this level would indicate that USD has likely made a significant low at 104.55 last month. In the meanwhile, we continue to expect USD to stay supported and only a break of 108.45 (‘key support’ previously at 108.15) would indicate that a top is in place.

Source:efxdata.com

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 05 Mar 18, 1.2335): Shift to bearish if NY close is below 1.2090.

We highlighted yesterday (26 Apr, spot at 1.2170) that “a clear break of 1.2153 would suggest that EUR is ready for a much deeper down-move in the weeks ahead”. EUR not only cracked this level but also managed to test the next major support near 1.2090 (note that 1.2092 was the high in 2017). The odds for a shift to a bearish phase have increased considerably but we prefer to wait for a daily closing below 1.2090. A shift to a bearish phase would have an immediate target of 1.1960. Looking back, while we first indicated that the “immediate pressure has shifted to the downside” on Monday, the decline since then has been more ‘impulsive’ than expected. From here, a clear break of 1.2090 would suggest that the 1.2555 high seen in February could turn out to be a significant mid to long-term top. In the meanwhile, we continue to expect EUR to stay under pressure unless it can reclaim the ‘key resistance’ that is currently at 1.2245 (level was previously at 1.2270).

GBP/USD: Neutral (since 07 Mar 18, 1.3895): Scope for GBP to grind lower to 1.3850.

The 1.3900 level that was first highlighted earlier this week was finally ‘tested’ as GBP touched an overnight low of 1.3895. Downward momentum is still not strong but with no sign of stabilization just yet, we see scope for GBP to grind lower to 1.3850 (next support is at 1.3800). Only a break of the ‘key resistance’ at 1.4020 (level was at 1.4040 yesterday) would indicate that the current weakness has stabilized.

AUD/USD: Neutral (since 22 Mar 18, 0.7770): Further weakness not ruled out but 0.7500 is likely out of reach. No change in view.We noted yesterday that “there is no sign of stabilization just yet” and “we have to contend with further weakness to 0.7550”. AUD subsequently hit a low of 0.7553 before staging a mild recovery. While further weakness is not ruled out, the combination of oversold conditions and waning momentum suggest that the odds for a sustained move below 0.7550 are not high. The next support below 0.7550 is at 0.7500, the low in December last year. At this stage, it appears that AUD would likely make a short-term low ahead of this major support. To put it another way, 0.7500 is likely out of reach this time round. Resistance is at 0.7605 but only a break of 0.7650 (‘key resistance’ previously at 0.7690) would indicate that a short-term low is in place.

NZD/USD: Neutral (since 05 Feb 18, 0.7280): Further weakness to 0.7035 would not be surprising. No change in view.NZD continues to ‘melt’ and our expectation for 0.7070 to temporarily check the drop in NZD was incorrect (low of 0.7058). Despite being severely oversold, there is still no sign of stabilization yet and further NZD weakness to 0.7035 would not be surprising. However, the next support at 0.7000 could be out of reach. On the upside, resistance is at 0.7110 but only a break of 0.7145 (‘key resistance’ previously at 0.7190) would indicate that the current weakness has stabilized.

USD/JPY: Neutral (since 21 Feb 18, 107.35): Focus is at 110.00 now. No change in view.The 109.30 ‘target’ that was first highlighted on Tuesday (24 Apr, 108.70) was exceeded as USD hit a high of 109.45 during NY hours. As indicated previously, a break of 109.30 would suggest that USD is ready for a move to 110.00. We attach high importance to 110.00 as a clear break of this level would indicate that USD has likely made a significant low at 104.55 last month. In the meanwhile, we continue to expect USD to stay supported and only a break of 108.45 (‘key support’ previously at 108.15) would indicate that a top is in place.

Source:efxdata.com

lastest Articles

PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (21.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/JPY continues to move sideways below 125 handle ahead of ECB and BoJ
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY-21.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Strong US Data, Trade Solace, & Consistent Fed Speak Drive Strong Dollar and Risk Narrative
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Move the market
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Forex Today: Yen weaker amid US-China trade optimism, UK retail sales – Up next
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (17.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Going Broke
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - 17.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (16.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: The fool
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
UK: On course for a hard Brexit?
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (15.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY-16.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
British pound volatile as Brexit-vote day arrives
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom:- Perfection
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (14.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (14.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 14.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Fed’s Dovishness Confirmed – Focus Shifts to Brexit and Earning Season
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Investing
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
USD/JPY - Fed Will Put Over-Valued USD/JPY In The Cross Hairs
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (10.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Do what you love
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FOMC: Caution in mind
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (09.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: The goal
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY -09.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (08.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Opportunities...
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - 08.01.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (07.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Markets Rise After Strong US Jobs Growth with Fed Talking Down Rate Hikes
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (03.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Accepting losses
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY-03.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (02.01.2019)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
USD/JPY recovers large part of daily drop on improved sentiment, trades near 109.50
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: The Impossible
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - 02.01.2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
Happy and Prosperous New Year
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Yearly Results - 2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Trade What’s Happening…
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
FX Today: Markets thin as the new year rolls around
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar might face hard times in 2019
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Oil remains bid after inventories post small decline
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Never let a win go to your head, or a loss to your heart
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
EUR/USD eases from weekly tops, still well bid around mid-1.1400s ahead of German CPI
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar slides versus haven currencies as equities renew selling
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Good Trading
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Fed projections are the problem
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom:The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Japan’s Nikkei tumbles into a bear market after Wall Street’s latest slide
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
Christmas And New Year Trading Schedule
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Take your profits
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Forex Today: Risk sentiment sees markets drifting mildly higher in the pre-Christmas wind-down
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Volatility and Risk Aversion Continue to Dominate December
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (20.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
ONDA PAMM - Very Promising PAMM...Could it Be?!
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (18.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Cloudy Skies Remain For AUD/USD Into The Fed
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Gold retreats after being unable to break above $1250
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (17.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD May Struggle To Rally On Any Fed Dovishness
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
EUR/USD extends the bounce towards 1.1350
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Dollar Higher Ahead of Crucial Fed Meeting
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Control
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - 14.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Risk Control
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (13.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Currencies struggle for direction despite Draghi and Trump comments
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY -13.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (12.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
USD Bank Wire Notice
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
ECB will say goodbye to quantitative easing, but when will it hike rates?
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom:Knowing Your Self
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 12.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (11.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Personalizing Loses
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY-11.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (10.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 10.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Amateurs vs Professionals
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Forex Today: Risk-off extends into Asia, UK monthly GDP – key focus
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
BREXIT - Margin Requirement
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: The Game
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Gold retreats from 5-week tops amid a modest USD rebound
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (04.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Company News
US National Mourning day Trading Schedule
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 04.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Keep it Simple
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Breaking: GBP/USD jumps on ECJ opinion that the UK can revoke Article 50 unilaterally
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Daily Results (03.12.2018)
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Market Analysis
GBP/USD fails to preserve gains, calms down below mid-1.27s
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
Quips of Wisdom
Forex Trading Wisdom: Your Friend
https://en.gravatar.com/userimage/34011725/cac48086660b253b9c1e53a8b4a23604.png
Market Analysis
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY- 03.12.2018
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613
PAMM News
Managed Forex Accounts Weekly Results
https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/b23a9c274f4a28b6ab7acddb98b80613