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GBP slides below $1.30

FOREX_Carney-flags-no-deal-brexit-risks_FXPIG

Sterling fell below $1.30 to an 11-day low on Friday after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said there was an “uncomfortably high” risk of Britain leaving the European Union without a deal.

The BoE raised interest rates from crisis-era lows on Thursday but that failed to boost the pound as the central bank also signalled it was in no rush to tighten policy further. Raising questions over Thursday’s hike, the closely-watched IHS Markit/CIPS UK Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) on Friday came in softer than all forecasts in a Reuters poll, with weaker-than-expected growth in Britain’s crucial services sector in July. The pound was largely unmoved, however. With less than eight months to go until Britain leaves the European Union, the government has begun talking more publicly about the prospect of leaving without a formal agreement on its future relationship with the bloc. The pound dropped 0.3 percent to an 11-day low of $1.2975, close to the 10-month low of $1.2958 before recovering slightly. Pound weakness has coincided with a broad rally in the dollar this week.

Against the euro, sterling slipped 0.1 percent to 89.10 pence per euro.

Britain’s economy has recovered from a weather-induced slowdown in the first quarter but sentiment is fragile. Inflation remains above the BoE’s target of two percent but domestic sources of price rises are limited so far and have yet to feed through to significant upward pressures on wages, particularly given historically low levels of unemployment. With the next six months set to be dominated by efforts to agree a Britain-EU trade deal, money markets do not expect the BoE to hike rates again until late next year.

The pound, one of the best performing currencies at the start of 2018, has lost 10 percent of its value since hitting a post-Brexit referendum high in April of $1.4377. Sterling has held up far better against the euro, although it is still down 3.4 percent since April. 

Source: reuters.com

Sterling fell below $1.30 to an 11-day low on Friday after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said there was an “uncomfortably high” risk of Britain leaving the European Union without a deal.

The BoE raised interest rates from crisis-era lows on Thursday but that failed to boost the pound as the central bank also signalled it was in no rush to tighten policy further. Raising questions over Thursday’s hike, the closely-watched IHS Markit/CIPS UK Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) on Friday came in softer than all forecasts in a Reuters poll, with weaker-than-expected growth in Britain’s crucial services sector in July. The pound was largely unmoved, however. With less than eight months to go until Britain leaves the European Union, the government has begun talking more publicly about the prospect of leaving without a formal agreement on its future relationship with the bloc. The pound dropped 0.3 percent to an 11-day low of $1.2975, close to the 10-month low of $1.2958 before recovering slightly. Pound weakness has coincided with a broad rally in the dollar this week.

Against the euro, sterling slipped 0.1 percent to 89.10 pence per euro.

Britain’s economy has recovered from a weather-induced slowdown in the first quarter but sentiment is fragile. Inflation remains above the BoE’s target of two percent but domestic sources of price rises are limited so far and have yet to feed through to significant upward pressures on wages, particularly given historically low levels of unemployment. With the next six months set to be dominated by efforts to agree a Britain-EU trade deal, money markets do not expect the BoE to hike rates again until late next year.

The pound, one of the best performing currencies at the start of 2018, has lost 10 percent of its value since hitting a post-Brexit referendum high in April of $1.4377. Sterling has held up far better against the euro, although it is still down 3.4 percent since April. 

Source: reuters.com

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