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Trading in the FX Market is more than just plotting indicators and placing an EA on a chart. Fundamentals are the catalyst and the driving force behind price moves, and if you aren’t keeping your ear to the ground, any one of a myriad of news events can seriously ruin your day. Bookmark this page to stay up-to-date on trending news and upcoming news events that affect your trading.

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UPCOMING FOREX NEWS EVENTS
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ECB cautious today

FX Strategists at UOB Group assessed the prospects of today’s ECB meeting.

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FOREX Daily Analysis

EUR/USD: Bullish (since 19 Jul 17, 1.1550): Over-extended but room for extension to 1.1615. We just shifted to a bullish stance yesterday and there is no change to the view.

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AUD on a tear

Analysts at ANZ suggest that whether you put it down to the more upbeat RBA minutes, the 30-odd% recovery in iron ore prices, the fact that Chinese activity has been surprising on the upside, or the generally weaker USD backdrop, the AUD has been on a tear of late...

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Asia Markets Update

Equity markets in Asia extended overnight gains in the U.S. early Thursday, lifted by expectations of upbeat earnings reports and higher oil prices, though investor caution over central-bank action has capped the upside.

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EUR/USD positive but cautious

In view of Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, EUR/USD's stance remains positive albeit begs some caution.

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Gold corrects after recent rally

Gold took a breather after its recent upsurge and traded with minor losses on Wednesday, snapping three consecutive days of winning streak to near three week tops.

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FOREX Tech Targets

EUR/USD: Shift from neutral to BULLISH: Over-extended but room for extension to 1.1615. The clear break above the top end of our expected 1.1380/1.1550 consolidation range indicates that EUR has moved into a bullish phase again.

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BOJ - What to Expect

Analysts at Goldman Sachs on what to expect from tomorrow’s BOJ monetary policy decision and accompanied outlook report.

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Asia Market Update

Equity markets lacked direction in Asia on Wednesday, as was the case overnight in the U.S., though Australian stocks outperformed on strong gains among the country’s biggest banks.

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Waiting for Draghi

As Europe’s central banks forge a path out of extreme monetary policies, all roads go via Frankfurt. Policy makers from Stockholm to Bucharest are now waiting for their colleagues at the European Central Bank to kick off unwinding the record stimulus that was unleashed in the aftermath of the global financial crisis

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EUR/USD:markets stay wary

CME Group’s advanced data for the 6EU7 contract expiring on August 4 showed ITM (‘in of the money’) Calls increasing by 906 contracts on Monday vs. a gain of 107 contracts in OTM Calls

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FOREX Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 13 Jul 17, 1.1415): In a higher range of 1.1380/1.1550. Despite the strong daily closing, we continue to hold a neutral view for this pair.

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Gold at 2-week high

Gold jumped to two-week high of $1237.94 in Asia on broad based USD selling.

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Asian markets Update

Asian shares were broadly weaker Tuesday, with Chinese stocks stabilizing after Monday’s slump and Japanese stocks falling in reaction to the dollar’s weakness.

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Gold inches higher

Gold prices edged up on Monday as the US dollar fell to multi-month lows after the prospect for further interest rate increases in the US this year dimmed following softer US economic data last week. The US government reported on Friday that consumer prices were unchanged in June and retail sales declined for a second consecutive month.

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GBP/USD stays bid

In light of the recent price action, Cable remains bid in the near term horizon, noted Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank.

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USDJPY: Pullback in US rates

The pullback in US rates may have been the spur that snapped a four-week dollar advancing streak against the Japanese yen, according to analysts at BBH.

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FOREX Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 13 Jul 17, 1.1415): In a higher range of 1.1380/1.1550. Despite the strong daily closing, we continue to hold a neutral view for this pair. The price action still looks like the early stages of a rising wedge. However, EUR is more likely to trade at a higher 1.1380/1.1550 range instead of the 1.1320/1.1520 expected previously.

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EUR/USD on the back foot

Having peaked at 1.1475, the EUR/USD pair ran through fresh sellers in the Asia session, as a renewed risk-on wave gripped the markets on upbeat Chinese data dump, which dampened the sentiment around the funding currency Euro.

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Asia Market Update

Chinese equity markets tumbled shortly after trading began on Monday, dragged down by a plunge in small-cap stocks after an injection of liquidity by the nation’s central bank spooked investors.

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Market Events to Watch

Forex Market Events to Watch the Week Ahead

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FOREX Week Ahead

US CPI and retail sales miss raise concerns on further Fed rate hikes. The US dollar is lower across the board after the release of the US retail sales and consumer price index (CPI) data on Friday. The CPI was unchanged from June and retail sales in the United States fell for the second month in a row

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Fed: stocks to record hights

Global stocks scaled record highs on Friday, capping their best week in over two months as the dollar stayed close to nine-month lows, with bets on a gradual U.S. Federal Reserve rate hike path and hopes for a strong earnings season boosting risk appetite.

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EUR/USD supported by rumours

The single currency stays bid during the European morning, with EUR/USD navigating the area above 1.1400 the figure. EUR/USD supported by ECB rumours, looks to US CPI

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FOREX Tech Analysis

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 13 Jul 17, 1.1415): In a broad 1.1320/1.1520 range. No change in view, see update from yesterday below. While EUR broke above the strong weekly trend-line resistance at 1.1445 on Tuesday, the failure to hold on to its gains coupled with the sharp drop indicates that the shift to a bullish stance yesterday was wrong

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EUR/USD: all eyes on inflation

A sense of calm has struck the FX space on the final trading day of the week, leaving the main currency pair – EUR/USD largely flat-lined just ahead of 1.14 handle, as investors brace for the main market moving for the day, the US CPI data for the month of June.

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Gold: Moderately bullish

In the view of analysts at HSBC, gold is seen building a base, as the commodity manages to hold $ 1200 barrier.

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Asia: Gains Continue

Global stocks continued to move higher Friday, with most Asia-Pacific markets poised to end the week on a high note as investors maintained their risk for appetit

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Yellen testimony in focus

Analysts at TDS suggest that producer prices data in addition to the Fed Chair Yellen’s congressional testimony, which continues today will be the key events to watch in US session.

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Oil cuts at lowest in 6 months

OPEC's compliance with production cuts fell in June to its lowest levels in six months as several members pumped much more oil than allowed by their supply deal, thus delaying market rebalancing, the International Energy Agency said on Thursday.

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GBP/USD: Bulls take a breather

The GBP/USD pair maintains its recovery-mode from nine-day lows in the Asian trades, as the dust settles over the Yellen’s testimony aftermath. GBP/USD: Bulls back in control

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FOREX Tech Targets

EUR/SUD: Shift from bullish to NEUTRAL: In a broad 1.1320/1.1520 range. While EUR broke above the strong weekly trend-line resistance at 1.1445 on Tuesday, the failure to hold on to its gains coupled with the sharp drop indicates that the shift to a bullish stance yesterday was wrong.

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Will EUR/USD regain bid tone?

The EUR/USD dropped to an Intraday low of 1.1392 on Wednesday before ending the day at 1.1411. The common currency failed to strengthen despite sell-off in the USD following Yellen’s testimony. US-German 10-yr yield spread is at lowest since early November

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Asia: Markets extend rally

Global equities extended their rally in Asia on Thursday, as dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen improved risk-taking appetite. In her testimony on Capitol Hill, Yellen signaled that the Fed would take a cautious approach to tightening policy in the face of an uncertain inflation outlook.

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GBP: bearish move building up?

Tuesday’s advanced figures for open interest in GBP futures markets tracked by CEM Group showed contracts rose by more than 1.2K vs. Monday’s final readings, indicating the first increase after four consecutive drops.

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USDJPY: Back to 100?

Analysts at HSBC expect USD-JPY to finish the year at 100 compared to a consensus at 114, lazily close to spot as the failure of Abenomics to generate a lasting rise in inflation creates a gravitational pull lower for USD-JPY.

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EUR futures: further gains

According to CME Group’s preliminary figures for Tuesday’s open interest in EUR futures markets, traders added more than 9.3K contracts vs. Monday’s final 427,924 contracts. Extra gains above 1.1450

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Forex Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Shift from neutral to BULLISH: Immediate target of 1.1560 followed by 1.1615.We have held the same view that EUR would enter a bullish phase again if there is a NY closing above the weekly trend-line resistance at 1.1445 since last week.

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Fed: Which lever to pull?

Fed Governor Lael Brainard spoke about the normalisation process of central banks, and her comments on the US were on the dovish side (that said, she is considered a “dove”), notes the research team at ANZ.

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Asia Markets Update

Dollar gives up recent gains; stocks in Japan, Australia slip.‍‍ Equity markets in Asia largely paused Wednesday after a strong start to the week, with stocks in Japan and Australia underperforming as their countries’ currencies made gains.

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BoC: rate hike coming?

Markets are expecting a rate hike during tomorrow’s MPC meeting following continued economic growth, hawkish comments and Poloz’s dismissal of the underwhelming inflation report, according to James Knightley, Chief International Economist at ING.

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Gold drifting back

After yesterday's sharp rebound from near 4-month lows, gold came under some renewed selling pressure as investors awaited for fresh signals on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook.

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FOREX Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Neutral (06 Jul 17, 1.1350): Shift to bullish again if NY closing is above 1.1445. USD/JPY: Neutral (since 05 Jul 17, 1.2925): In a 1.2800/1.2975 range.

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Markets in Survival Mode

There's a big debate in markets about the appropriate Federal Reserve policy amid conflicting signals. With the jobless rate at 4.4 percent, the trade-off between growth and inflation known as the Phillips curve would seem to matter.

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USDJPY & EURUSD Analysis

Societe Generale FX Strategy Research notes that at current levels, Treasury yields still aren’t undermining global risk sentiment and so they are undermining the JPY.

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Gold slips

Gold prices continued to move lower on Monday, setting them on track for a fresh four-month low after a solid U.S. jobs report last week backed expectations for higher U.S. interest rates later in the year. Gold for August delivery GCQ7, +0.05% dropped $2.40, or 0.2%, to $1,207.30 an ounce, on a path for a second straight day of losses.

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ECB and risk assessment

Analysts at BBH explains that the ECB continues to try to calibrate its communication with the evolving economy and its risk assessment.Key Quotes: “It appears that the confidence of officials has outstripped their willingness to express it for fear of spurring precisely what has happened: a premature tightening of financial conditions.”

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FOREX Tech Targets

EUR/USD: Neutral (06 Jul 17, 1.1350): Shift to bullish again if NY closing is above 1.1445. EUR closed lower last Friday and the key resistance at 1.1445 was unthreatened. As indicated in recent updates, only a NY closing above this level would shift the current neutral outlook for EUR to bullish again.

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BOJ economic report

In its latest quarterly regional economic report published on Monday, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raised the economic assessment for five out of nine regions.

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Stronger USD?

Credit Agricole CIB FX Strategy Research argues that after a protracted period of USD-underperformance that saw investors cut most of their longs, it seems as though the plight of the USD-bulls maybe coming to an end especially against the JPY and CHF.

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EUR/USD remains bid

Friday’s strong US non-farm payrolls signaled the Federal Reserve would stick with its tightening plans for the rest of this year. The EUR/USD thus dropped to 1.1379 on Friday before leaving higher lows along the upward sloping 1-hour 50-MA. The spot moved above 1.14 handle in Asia, but further gains were hard to come. EUR to remain bid on hawkish ECB

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FOREX Week Ahead

The US dollar is higher against most major pairs after another jobs report that added more than 200,000 positions. The Canadian dollar was the outlier making gains against the greenback on the back of a similar strong jobs report that validates the hawkish comments from the Bank of Canada (BoC) in the last three weeks.

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Disappointing UK Data

The EUR/GBP cross built on previous session's up-move and jumped to 1-1/2 week tops near 0.8835 region post dismal UK data. The cross caught some fresh bids and now seems to have decisively broken through a six-day-old trading range after data released from the UK showed an unexpected contraction in manufacturing and industrial output during the month of May.

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Silver stabilizes after the Flash Crash

Silver futures on Comex stalled its recovery from the flash crash witnessed in early Asia (pre-Tokyo open), now entering a phase of consolidation, as investors gear up for the main risk event for today, the US labour market report due later today at 1230GMT.

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FOREX Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Neutral: Shift to bullish again if NY closing is above 1.1445. We just shifted from a bullish to neutral stance yesterday and the strong overnight rally comes as a surprise. From here, a NY closing above last week’s 1.1445 peak is enough to indicate that EUR has moved into a bullish phase again. A bullish scenario would not be surprising as long as EUR can hold above 1.1340 in the next few days.

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Gold takes support ahead NFP

The rising global bond yield environment is keeping gold under pressure; however, the losses are being capped at the weekly 50-MA level of $1218.50 ahead of the US NFP release.

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BOJ: USD gains against yen

The dollar gained in Asian trading on Friday, getting a leg up against the yen after the Bank of Japan increased its purchases of Japanese government bonds in a move aimed at stemming a rise in yields.

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Asia: Markets slump

Equity markets across the Asia-Pacific region were lower Friday, tracking declines in the U.S. and Europe, as investors become more cautious about the prospects of global central bank tightening.

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CAD Looking To Fade

Nomura FX Strategy Research base case is now for the BoC to raise interest rates by 25bp at its 12 July meeting, followed by another hike by December.

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FOMC Minutes: Lots of uncertainty

Kit Juckes, Research Analyst at Societe Generale, explains that the short version of the FOMC minutes seem to be that there is uncertainty about how to react to the combination of low inflation and falling unemployment, uncertainty about whether to react to asset prices, and debate about when to start shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet. Key Quotes

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Gold flirting with session lows

Gold once again failed to build on its recovery move beyond $1230 level and has now dropped to session lows, eroding previous session's tepid recovery gains. On Wednesday, the previous metal rebounded after hitting fresh eight-week lows and recovered some of its steep losses posted on Monday following the release of FOMC meeting minutes, which showed that policymakers were concerned over the recent sluggish inflation indications.

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FOREX Tech Targets

EUR/USD: Shift from bullish to NEUTRAL: In a 1.1250/1.1430 range. The bullish phase that started on 28 Jun has ended when EUR dipped below the stop-loss at 1.1330. The 1.1445 peak seen last week was the extent of the bullish phase.

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EUR/USD down, awaits ECB minutes

The EUR/USD pair faced rejection once again just ahead of 1.1350 levels, now consolidating the latest move lower, as attention turns towards the ECB monetary policy account for the next direction.

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Asia Markets Wrap

Asian stocks moved lower while the yen strengthened as investors digested details from the Federal Reserve’s most recent meeting, ahead of a G-20 summit and a key U.S. jobs report.

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EUR/USD surrenders early gains

The EUR/USD pair failed to benefit from upbeat EZ data and has now surrendered majority of its early gains to session tops near 1.1370 region. The struggled to attract any strong follow through buying interest, in fact, ran through some fresh offers despite better-than expected Markit's Euro-zone services PMI print, coming in at 55.4 for June as compared to 54.7 previously estimated.

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FOMC Minutes eyed for further rate hike

Kit Juckes, Research Analyst at Societe Generale, suggests that as for the ‘big event’ of the FOMC Minutes today, we’ll see how they pitch the debate about normalisation against a backdrop of strong asset markets but very soft inflation readings going into the meeting last month.

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USD/JPY recovers early losses

The USD/JPY pair managed to recover majority of its early losses to session low near 112.80 region and has now moved closer to the top end of the daily trading range. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Korean peninsula, especially after N. Korea's missile launch drove investors to traditional safe-haven assets..

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FOREX DAILY TARGETS

EUR/USD: Bullish (since 28 Jun 17, 1.1335): To exit half of long position at 1.1435. EUR dipped to a low of 1.1335 yesterday, a few pips above the stop-loss for our bullish view at 1.1330. While short-term downward pressure has waned somewhat, a move below 1.1330 is not ruled out.

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Gold looks to regain $ 1230

The ultimate safe-haven extends its recovery from seven-week lows into a second day today, as escalating tensions surrounding the Korean peninsula continue to spook markets. Markets seek to safety nets such as gold in times of geo-political turmoil, in order to protect their capital. North Korea tensions flare up after the North Korean leader said that he is “firmly determined and committed” to test an ICBM that can hit the US mainland within this year.

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Oil exports dropped in June

OPEC’s total oil exports stood at 25.187 million barrels per day (bpd), down from 25.424 million bpd in May, and down from 25.493 million bpd in October 2016. The decline in exports was driven by UAE, Algeria, Kuwait and Iran.

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EUR/USD: What is the fair value?

According to Kit Juckes, Research Analyst at Societe Generale, 'Fair value' for EUR/USD is somewhere between the PIIE estimates of FEER fair value (1.18) and the OECD's estimate of PPP (1.33).

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Australia: Political turmoil is back?

Australia makes the front page of the Wall Street Journal Asia today with a headline: “In Australian Politics, It’s Turmoil Time Once More” as “Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull feels the heat from members who feel he is taking the coalition too far to the left”, notes Michael Every, Senior Asia-Pacific Strategist at Rabobank.

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FOREX Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Bullish (since 28 Jun 17, 1.1335): To exit half of long position at 1.1435. EUR closed lower for the second straight day and this does not bode well for our current bullish view. As highlighted in recent updates, the weekly trend-line at 1.1475 is a major resistance and EUR has to break above this level for further up-move to the next resistance at 1.1615

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EUR/USD - Buy the dip or Sell the rip?

The EUR/USD pair dropped on Monday after a strong US ISM data pushed the treasury yields higher. The spot closed at 1.1363 levels. Monday’s weak close adds credence to Friday’s bearish hammer like pattern and signals the bull market has ended at least for the short-term.

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China Warns...

China Warns Against ‘Negative’ U.S. Turn as Trump Raises Heat. Bloomberg report says, “Chinese President Xi Jinping’s complaint about a “negative” turn in China’s relationship with the US showed the challenge facing Donald Trump when the two leaders meet in Germany this week.”

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EUR/USD on the offers

The EUR/USD pair extends its upside consolidative phase into a second day this Monday, as the bulls take a breather stepping into a big week ahead. EUR/USD reverts to 5-DMA at 1.1416

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FOREX Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Bullish (since 28 Jun 17, 1.1335): Above 1.1475 would shift focus to the 2016 peak of 1.1615. There is not much to add to the update from last Friday (reproduced below).While we shifted to a bullish EUR stance on Wednesday, the rapid pace of advance despite overbought conditions comes as a surprise

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Asian markets mixed

Equity markets struggled to find direction in Asia as the second half of the year kicked off, tracking mixed signals from U.S. markets. Market participants were expected to focus more closely on the Chinese bond and currency markets with the launch of a new program allowing global investors to invest in the world’s third-largest market for fixed income via Hong Kong.

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FOREX Week Ahead

US jobs report and Fed minutes to guide markets.The US dollar is lower against most majors amid hawkish rhetoric from central banks and improving economic conditions around the globe. The U.S. Federal Reserve has raised interest rates twice in 2017 and continues to hint at more tightening measures before the end of the year.

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Gold buyers fear

Snapping a three-day rise, gold prices fell 100 to Rs. 29,200 per 10 grams due to weak global cues and lower spot demand.

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GBP/USD drops post-UK GDP

GBP/USD muted on data.The Sterling is losing the grip at the end of the week, with GBP/USD now breaking below the key 1.3000 handle following UK data.

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ECB: Major shift in stance

President Draghi’s speech on Wednesday was important not because he marked a hawkish shift to policy but because he implicitly signaled that the ECB is not as concerned about low inflation any more: it is now considered temporary, according to George Saravelos, Strategist at Deutsche Bank.

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FOREX Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Bullish (since 28 Jun 17, 1.1335): Above 1.1475 would shift focus to the 2016 peak of 1.1615. While we shifted to a bullish EUR stance on Wednesday, the rapid pace of advance despite overbought conditions comes as a surprise.

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RBA Financial Aggregates

All growth rates for the financial aggregates are seasonally adjusted, and adjusted for the effects of breaks in the series as recorded in the notes to the tables listed below. Data for the levels of financial aggregates are not adjusted for series breaks

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Hawkish central bank narrative

The dollar languished near a nine-month low against a basket of currencies on Friday, bogged down by growing expectations of more hawkish monetary policies in Europe and Canada and doubts about another U.S. interest rate increase this year.

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European stocks step lower

Shares of European banks and basic materials companies rose Thursday, boosted by U.S. bank stress tests and a weaker U.S. dollar respectively, but key regional benchmarks failed to follow them higher. The Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP, -0.29% slipped 0.1% to 385.31, giving up a gain of 0.5% at the open of trading.

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USD: Pressurised by multitude of factors

In view of analysts at BBH, three significant developments prevented the dollar’s multiyear rally from continuing in 2017: a decline in US rates, a rise in European rates, and the manoeuvring around the US debt ceiling.

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GBP: Signs of stabilisation

GBP continues to show signs of stabilising against the backdrop of an improvement in the c/a deficit, according to Brian Martin, Research Analyst at ANZ.

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FOREX Daily Targets

EUR/USD: Bullish (since 28 Jun 17, 1.1335): Over-extended but scope for further up-move to 1.1435. There is not much to add to the update from yesterday (reproduced below).

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Central Banks take Center Stage

Central Banks take Center Stage. The market continues focusing on central bank commentary, especially in the wake of Tuesday’s speech by Mario Draghi that whipped currency markets into a frenzy

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Oil extends five-day winning

Oil prices are on the rise for the sixth straight day as the drop in the US output provided much needed momentum for the technical correction set in motion by the oversold technical conditions.

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ECB chief hints at end of QE policy

President Draghi's more hawkish inclinations have set tongues wagging, with markets now seeing the end of the ECB's QE policy as a matter of when, not if, suggests the research team at ING.

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BoE: Brexit response reversed

In its latest Financial Stability Report, the BoE's Financial Policy Committee announced a number of measures which are like paring back of the response to the EU referendum result, according to the research team at HSBC.

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FOREX Tech Targets

EUR/USD: Bullish; over-extended but scope for further up-move to 1.1435.The abrupt and strong rally appears to be running ahead of itself but there is scope for further up-move towards 1.1435.

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EUR/USD unstoppable

The demand for the single currency stays everything but abated today, now pushing EUR/USD to fresh multi-month tops near 1.1370. EUR/USD boosted by Draghi, USD-selling

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Fed speakers stuck to gradual tightening message

Fed speakers overnight stuck to the gradual tightening message and in addition the hangover of stimulatory monetary policy on asset valuations was also in focus. Key quotes

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Hawkish Draghi

It was all about Mario Draghi overnight where his comments were interpreted as hawkish despite there being dovish undertones, suggests the analysis team at ANZ.

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Fed: Advanced economies stuck

Central banks in the United States and other advanced economies will find themselves stuck with slow growth over the longterm unless fiscal authorities do something decisive to turn things around, a U.S. central banker warned Tuesday.

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Gold stages a goodish recovery

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EUR/USD looks to regain 1.1200

Having found some support near 1.1175 region, the EUR/USD pair has embarked upon a minor-recovery mode, as the bulls look to regain 1.12 handle ahead of key central bankers’ speeches. Recovery appears limited on policy divergence.

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