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The US dollar started the week on the back foot across the board, which emerged the main underlying theme in Asia this Monday, helping most majors recover some ground, as Treasury yields sagged. The Aussie emerged the strongest while the Kiwi traded better offered...

Market Events Ahead

The EUR/USD lost 0.08 percent in the last five days. The single currency is trading at 1.1950 as the USD depreciated as investors closed their long dollar positions. European Central Bank (ECB) President has stated that there are concerns about European growth, which could translate into...

The USD/CAD is trading at around 1.2786 up 0.18% on Friday.

The EUR/JPY is trading at around 130.60 up 0.20% as Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank just delivered a speech in Florence at the 8th edition of The State of the Union which is organized by the European University Institute.

Robert Rennie, Research Analyst at Westpac, explains that they have shifted back to a neutral stance on the basis of firstly that the US$ had come a long way in a short period of time and that a number of technical objectives were close to being achieved e.g. 50% retracement of 114.73 November high to 104.56 March low coming in at 109.73.

Sterling on Friday headed for its fourth successive weekly decline versus the dollar, in what would be a first for the currency since 2015, after the Bank of England held rates and cut its economic growth projections.The pound fell sharply after the BoE on Thursday held...

No change in view.In the latest update on Tuesday (08 May, spot at 1.3560), we left off with the view that the outlook for GBP is “still bearish but odds for further weakness to 1.3458 are not high”. GBP subsequently traded sideways and...

The USD/JPY pair hovered near the midpoint of the 109 handle while the Aussie traded well above the 0.75 handle. Meanwhile, the NZD/USD pair found some support from...

Analysts at Scotiabank explained recent data events, BoE and call for a lower pound.

The EUR/USD pair trimmed some of its post-US CPI strong gains and quickly retreated over 50-pips from multi-day tops.

In the latest update on Tuesday (08 May, spot at 1.1925), we left off with the view that EUR has to “stay below 1.1910/15 or the risk of a short-term low would increase quickly”.

The British Pound's relative underperformance against its European counterpart could further be attributed to the latest mixed UK macro releases, showing manufacturing output fell by -0.1% and...

Gold struggled to build on overnight rebound from the very important 200-day SMA region and was now seen oscillating in a...

The French, Swiss and German markets are closed today in observance of Ascension Day, leaving the focus on the UK docket, with a slew of macro news slated for release all at once at 0830 GMT. The UK industrial and manufacturing production data will be...

USD/JPY has popped the resistance of 109.30/40 and did so overnight in Tokyo, climbing to as high as 109.63 by the close of the opening hour.

FX Strategists at Scotiabank noted the pair could attempt a rebound to the area beyond the 1.2000 handle.

The GBP/USD is trading at around 1.3593 up 0.34% on Wednesday as investors are slowly unwinding their short GBP/USD positions ahead of the Bank of England rate decision and quarterly Inflation Report on Thursday.

The pair built on its Asian session up-move from the 109.00 handle and was further supported by a goodish pickup in the European equity markets, which was seen weighing on the...

The greenback, tracked by the US Dollar Index (DXY), is prolonging the upside after recently breaking the key barrier at 93.00 the figure.The index advances for the fourth consecutive session today, extending the recent breakout of the 93.00 handle and...

The Japanese Yen was the weakest in Asia across the fx board today, as broad-based US dollar strength remained the underlying theme following Trump’s decision to pull out the US from Iran’s nuclear deal. Both crude benchmarks also benefited from the Iran deal fallout, having helped limit the...

AUD/USD spiked up towards the hourly 10-SMA while the dollar comes off a little from highs on the 93 handle at 93.2800.

The greenback keeps marching north on Tuesday and is now relegating EUR/USD to trade in the 1.1840 region, levels last seen in late December.

The softer tone around the European currency is dragging EUR/JPY to record fresh multi-week lows in the 129.20 region, just to rebound a tad afterwards.

The selling pressure around the single currency is accelerating on Tuesday following the recent breakout of key up barriers by the US Dollar Index. In fact, the buck moved higher today, surpassing the 93.00 milestone and dragging lower the pair and...

Forex today was driven by the fundamentals released from the Asia-pac economies, with the Aussie worst hit by the disappointing Australian retail sales releases, which overshadowed stronger Chinese trade figures. The Kiwi too followed suit and remained better offered amid a...

The NZD/USD is trading at around 0.7027 up 0.13% as the pair is mainly led by sentiment toward the US dollar.

The Japanese yen is showing little movement in the Monday session. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 109.27, up 0.10% on the day.

The U.S. Federal Reserve left its benchmark overnight lending rate in a target range of between 1.50 percent and 1.75 percent.

The EUR/USD pair makes a tepid recovery attempt from 1.1922 lows, as markets appear to have ignored the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence numbers, which showed a dip in the investors’ confidence to 19.2 for May versus 21.0 expected.

The 1.1915 ‘target’ that was first highlighted last Wednesday was exceeded marginally as EUR briefly hit a low of 1.1909 last Friday. The lack of a ‘follow-through’ upon the break of this critical level coupled with the subsequent quick recovery indicates that the current oversold momentum is...

The global equity rebound continued Monday in Asia after U.S. stocks rallied Friday on a solid April jobs report. The gains were led by China, where indexes rose by more than 1% despite a lack of progress on trade talks with the U.S.

Market events to watch this week.

The EUR/USD lost 1.37 percent in the last week. The single currency is trading at 1.1960 after a week heavy with economic released and the release of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate statement. European data continues to disappoint with German retail sales shrinking by 0.6 percent and the flash inflation estimate coming short of the forecast at 1.2 percent the biggest drags on the euro. Indicators in the US were not as solid as the...

Sterling fell further against a surging dollar on Friday, erasing all its gains for 2018 after investors shrugged off disappointing jobs data out of the United States to buy into the greenback.

The U.S. dollar leaped to its highest levels this year against a basket of currencies on Friday, despite disappointing U.S. employment data for April.

EUR registered an ‘inside day’ yesterday and the recent strong downward momentum has eased somewhat. While we continue to anticipate a move to the year-to-date low at 1.1915, oversold shorter-term condition suggests that EUR could consolidate for a couple of days before...

USD/JPY has fully retraced 50% of the sell off from 114.73 in November to 104.56 in March and it would appear logical that we pause around current levels.

The USD/JPY pair quickly reversed an early dip to sub-109.00 level and has managed to rebound around 20- pips from fresh weekly lows.

The GBP/USD pair created a doji candle yesterday, signaling the bears are having a breather ahead of the US April payrolls and wage growth release.

June gold climbed by $10, or 0.8%, to $1,315.60/oz while spot made a high of $1,318.06. The sentiment is that the Fed is in no hurry to jack up rates and will even allow inflation to move above target considering how long it has been running below it and just three hikes this year instead of four dented the dollar and...

We just shifted to a bearish stance yesterday (02 May, spot at 0.7485) and there is no change to the view. The ‘target’ remains unchanged at 0.7410 even though 0.7440 is quite a strong shorter-term support. That said, after the rapid decline over the past couple of weeks, it does feel that we are...

The cross drifted into negative territory for the third consecutive session, also marking the fifth day of losses in the previous six, and broke below the very important 200-day SMA support following the weaker-than-expected release of...

FX Strategists at UOB Group noted the Kiwi Dollar remains bearish although expect the decline to be limited around 0.6920 in the near term.

Cable remains bearish and could grind lower to the 1.3540 region, according to FX Strategists at UOB Group.

The now offered bias around the greenback is lifting EUR/USD to the area of session highs near 1.1990.

The NZD/USD pair surrendered majority of its early modest recovery gains and has retreated back closer to YTD lows, around the key 0.70 psychological mark.

The Canadian dollar continues to trade quietly this week. In the Wednesday session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.2837, down 0.10% on the day.

Sterling held close to 3-1/2 month lows on Wednesday after Brexit-related news knocked the pound and as traders readied for data on the construction sector for any sign of an April rebound after weakness in the first quarter.

The pair remains under pressure today, retracing the earlier spike to the 1.2030/40 band amidst a rebound in the buck and rising US yields. In fact, the US Dollar Index rebounds from daily highs near 92.20 while US-10 year yields are approaching the psychological barrier at...

The US Dollar continues to march up the charts against the broader FX market, and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent softness is still fresh in trader's minds, noting that the central bank is still committed to their hyper-easing monetary policy, and lagging inflation figures for Japan's economy means the BoJ is even further out from...

The US dollar has steamrolled the British pound in the Tuesday session.

FX Strategists at Scotiabank keep their bearish outlook on the pair unchanged in the near term.

The euro fell on Tuesday, heading towards a 3-1/2 month low as weaker-than-expected economic data at the start of the week dented euro zone sentiment ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy decision.

Having fallen to one week low, around the 1.2800 handle on Monday, the pair recovered few pips and moved back to its recent trading range held over the past six trading sessions. A combination of diverging forces failed to provide any meaningful impetus and assist the pair to break through...

Forex today in Asia this Tuesday was characterized by slowing volumes and minimal volatility amid holiday-thinned markets, with China still closed in observance of Labour Day. On the data front too, we had second-liner releases, which had little impact on the Asia-pac currencies, as the USD dynamics continued to play a vital role across the...

Despite an hourly set back on the charts today, (109.47 down to 109.12), USD/JPY has continued in the weekly advance to the 100-W SMA at 109.48, propped by prospects of the Fed in fourth gear at this week's meeting, signalling to markets that rate hikes will follow in due course as economic data and inflation continue to pick up.

The NZD/USD is trading at around 0.7046 down 0.55% in Monday's trading as the London's forex session is about to come to an end.

“Following a muted initial reaction to ECB last week, EUR/USD broke key resistance levels including the 2017 high of 1.2092 towards the end of last week as markets digested the impact of a softening euro-zone outlook”.

The selling pressure seems to have resumed around the European currency at the beginning of the week and is now dragging EUR/USD to trade in the area of daily lows in the 1.2100 neighbourhood.

The dollar held steady against a basket of major currencies on Monday after pulling back slightly from a 3-1/2-month high last week, pressured by a decline in the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield.The dollar’s index against a basket of six major currencies stood at...

Forex today was a quiet Asian affair amid holiday-thinned trading, with Japan and China both out on their respective public holidays. Despite a holiday, the China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing’s (CFLP) published upbeat China manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI readings. But, better Chinese PMIs failed to benefit the...

Market events to watch this week

The US dollar had massive weekly gains against all majors. The release of the gross domestic product for the first quarter of 2018 beat expectations but did little for a dollar that had rallied all week. Dovish central bank rhetoric from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have increased the anticipation for the U.S. Federal Reserve’s....

Despite moving off lows, GBP/USD is still down significantly. The pair is falling on Friday more than a hundred pips and from last week highs lost more than...

The commodity stalled its recent downfall and found some decent support near $1315 level on Friday amid a modest retracement in the...

he pair stays in the area of 2-month tops well beyond 109.00 the figure today after the first estimate of US GDP showed the economy is seen expanding at an...

The dollar edged higher on Friday and is on track to post its best weekly performance in more than 1-1/2 years as a spike in U.S. Treasury yields prompted some investors to unwind some short bets against the dollar, especially against some emerging market currencies.

We highlighted yesterday (26 Apr, spot at 1.2170) that “a clear break of 1.2153 would suggest that EUR is ready for a much deeper down-move in the weeks ahead”. EUR not only cracked this level but also managed to test the next major support near 1.2090 (note that 1.2092 was the high in 2017). The odds for a shift to a bearish phase have increased considerably but we prefer to wait for a daily closing below 1.2090.

Following Thursday’s collapse after the bull run beyond 1.2200 the figure, EUR/USD is now looking to consolidate in the 1.2100 area, or fresh 3-month lows. The single currency remains fragile at the end of the week, motivating the pair to meander the area of 3-month lows after breaking below...

In Thursday dealings, June gold GCM8, -0.31% was down $3.60, or 0.3%, to $1,319.10 an ounce Prices for the most-active contract, which had earlier tapped a...

After climbing to as high as the boundaries of 109.50, or fresh 2-month peaks, the pair sparked a correction lower along with...

The U.S. dollar held broadly steady around a three-month high Thursday, but was slightly down against the euro before European Central Bank President Mario Draghi was set to discuss the central bank’s monetary policy decision and likely offer his thoughts on growth in the eurozone economy.

The euro edged off eight-week lows on Thursday as traders readied for a European Central Bank meeting, when investors will be searching for any signals about when the bank will begin unwinding its stimulus.

Our ‘focus level’ of 1.2153 that was indicated on Tuesday (24 Apr, 1.2205) was almost touched as EUR dropped to an overnight low of 1.2158. As noted, a clear break of 1.2153 would suggest that EUR is ready for a much deeper down-move in the weeks ahead (the next support below 1.2153 is at 1.2090). The prospect for a break...

Oil futures continued to rise Thursday, as traders looked past surprise increases in U.S. supplies, and instead focused on the possibility that the U.S. will reimpose sanctions on Iran June West Texas Intermediate crude CLM8, +0.31% rose 13 cents, or 0.2%, to $68.18 a barrel after...

In respect to the euro, analysts t UOB Group explained that the “pressure has shifted to the downside”.

The GBP/USD is trading at around 1.3947 down 0.22% on Wednesday in the early North American session.

Sterling fell against the dollar on Wednesday as the U.S. currency strengthened on the back of rising Treasury yields, while traders remained cautious ahead of British GDP numbers due on Friday.

The dollar hit a four-month high on Wednesday after a rise in benchmark U.S. Treasury yields above 3 percent rattled some currency bears while a mixed picture from business surveys failed to help the euro before a European Central Bank meeting.

EUR/USD: Neutral (since 05 Mar 18, 1.2335): Focus is at 1.2153 now. No change in view.We highlighted yesterday (23 Apr, 1.2280) that the “pressure has shifted to the downside” and expected “further weakness to 1.2212”. However, we did not exactly expect...

The resurgence of broad-based US dollar demand remained the main underlying theme in the holiday-thinned Asian session, as the 10-year Treasury yields rally regained traction and rose above the 3 percent bulwark once again. Hence, most majors remained suppressed amid a firmer greenback, but the Antipodeans suffered the most, as persisting...

The USD/JPY is trading at around 108.78 virtually unchanged on Tuesday as the European forex session came to a close.

EUR/USD is alternating gains with losses on Tuesday, keeping the range between fresh lows near 1.2180 and session tops near 1.2220.

The pound continued to languish on Tuesday and fell 0.1 percent to as low as $1.3919, its lowest since March 19, in part because of a...

The euro fell to a two-month low on Tuesday as concerns that rising U.S. Treasury yields would push the currency to break below a range it has been stuck within most of this year, prompting hedge funds to unwind some of their record long bets.

The GBP/USD pair is seen trying hard to recover ground above the midpoint of the 1.39 handle, but in vain, as the looming geopolitical tensions between the...

We highlighted yesterday (23 Apr, 1.2280) that the “pressure has shifted to the downside” and expected “further weakness to 1.2212”. However, we did not exactly expect 1.2212 to be taken out within such a short period of time (overnight low of 1.2196). From here, the focus has shifted to last month’s...

The selling pressure continues to hurt the single currency on Monday and is now dragging EUR/USD to test fresh lows in the 1.2215/20 band.

The pair’s upside momentum could extend towards the 108.60 region in the near term, noted FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Sterling slipped to a two-week low against the dollar on Monday as investors questioned whether the Bank of England would raise interest rates in May following weaker-than-expected economic data and cautious comments from governor Mark Carney.

We highlighted last Friday that the near-term bias is “tilted to the downside but any weakness is viewed as part of a 1.2260/1.2400 sideway trading range instead of a sustained decline”. However, the subsequent rapid pace of decline that hit a low of 1.2248 came as a surprise. The immediate pressure has...

The Yen emerged the biggest loser versus the greenback while Cable was the strongest, despite mixed performance seen on the Asian equities and subdued oil prices. Both the Antipodeans traded modestly flat in tight ranges, as they look forw...

Sterling fell half a percent to a fresh two-week low against the dollar on Friday after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney signalled that the central bank may not raise interest rates in May because economic data was “mixed”.

The US dollar is higher across the board after geopolitical tensions have eased and Fed speakers are making a case for a faster rate hike for US interest rates. The hawkish comments from Fed’s Loretta Mester contrasted with dovish comments from the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) officials which put downward pressure on their respective currencies.

Bank of America Merrill Lynch Research discusses EUR/USD outlook, and maintains a tactical bearish bias in the near-term, expressing that via holding a short EUR/USD* position targeting a move to 1.15.

The EUR/USD is trading at around 1.2275 down 0.58% on Friday’s trading as the European forex session is slowly coming to an end.

The Canadian inflation data in Canada was a disappointment for CAD bulls. The CAD/JPY is trading at around 84.62 down 0.12 % in the US session.

The dollar headed higher against most rival currencies on Friday, lifted by rising U.S. Treasury yields, which came on the back of a rally in commodity prices that has pushed up inflation expectations.The pound continued to slide after hints from Bank of England Governor Mark Carney that the U.K. central bank may...

The euro settled above the $1.23 line on Friday and is poised for its smallest week of gains in 10 months as investors marked time before a European Central Bank meeting next week where policymakers might shed some clues on removing policy stimulus.